{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2c28b4a6-9389-46e7-95a5-dd9acd377826",
    "symbol": "SRG",
    "name": "SRG Global Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 29.686,
    "architecture_energy": 29.346,
    "architecture_maturity": 66.032,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.722,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 49.21,
        "rotation_up": 19.18,
        "upward_expansion": 54.71,
        "deceleration": 93.99,
        "rotation_down": 35.5,
        "downward_expansion": 20.71
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.418667,
        3.562545,
        3.466714,
        3.299307
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 3.4,
    "trend_reference": 3.125295,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.087897,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.595105,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.131521,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 13.956823,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.202269,
    "excess_performance": 0.138564,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087897,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.099936,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.131521,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.13042,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.139568,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.171881,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.202269,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.066115,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5925619,
      "relative_activity": 0.78865,
      "balance": 1.066115,
      "dry_up": 0.710242,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.073982,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.387382,
      "from_high_reference": -0.164619,
      "from_low_reference": 1.304194
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.125295,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.595105,
      "structural_low": 2.31,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.009805,
        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
        "median_excess_return": 0.013115,
        "regime_survival": 0.454545,
        "best_return": 0.18,
        "worst_return": -0.100249,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.111565,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.137108,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.302856,
        "worst_return": -0.083791,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.121146,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.120279,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.641332,
        "worst_return": -0.104923,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.345913,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.438191,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.014572,
        "worst_return": 0.099841,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-12-15",
        "end": "2024-01-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.069232,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-01-12",
        "end": "2024-02-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.05797,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-02-23",
        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.143024,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.017142,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-26",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.456815,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003477,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.04184,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.120155,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 1.002926,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.100249,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.194332,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.071429,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.125,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.011905,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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      },
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 41.594228,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 1.523916,
        "relative_strength": 32.509736,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 3.5,
        "volume": 4872867,
        "typical_volume": 10149183.95,
        "trend": 3.082274,
        "fair_value": 1.542072,
        "relative_strength": 27.983752,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.761041,
        "energy": 53.012632,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.68,
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          3.410904,
          3.241899
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 3.42,
        "volume": 4687214,
        "typical_volume": 9550891.5,
        "trend": 3.097063,
        "fair_value": 1.559798,
        "relative_strength": 23.83163,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.991704,
        "energy": 31.467591,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.562667,
          3.651273,
          3.435762,
          3.263688
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.36,
        "volume": 5860267,
        "typical_volume": 9068739.9,
        "trend": 3.110842,
        "fair_value": 1.577281,
        "relative_strength": 17.540416,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.544264,
        "energy": 32.369358,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.462,
          3.606182,
          3.451333,
          3.280651
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.4,
        "volume": 5925619,
        "typical_volume": 7513621.5,
        "trend": 3.125295,
        "fair_value": 1.595105,
        "relative_strength": 13.956823,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.686287,
        "energy": 29.345977,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.418667,
          3.562545,
          3.466714,
          3.299307
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}