{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2c2fbf43-e740-45ec-8c85-8cb0a691683c", "symbol": "300460", "name": "Guangdong Faith Long Crystal Technology Co.,LTD.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 63.665, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.85, "architecture_energy": 36.553, "architecture_maturity": 6.215, "architecture_confidence": 71.973, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.14, "rotation_up": 17.19, "upward_expansion": 21.32, "deceleration": 53.45, "rotation_down": 61.83, "downward_expansion": 43.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.551333, 9.012364, 9.278238, 9.269247 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 8.69, "trend_reference": 9.173333, "distance_from_trend": -0.052689, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.443077, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.16787, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.089591, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.058465, "excess_performance": 0.051066, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.052689, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001958, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.16787, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.126735, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.110896, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042084, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.058465, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.585835, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26121520, "relative_activity": 0.961817, "balance": 0.585835, "dry_up": 0.89632, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.118261, "annualized_volatility": 0.478484, "from_high_reference": -0.292345, "from_low_reference": 0.149471 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.173333, "fair_value_reference": 10.443077, "structural_low": 7.64, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.053493, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": 0.069843, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.158549, "worst_return": -0.15658, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.134392, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.191651, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.207424, "worst_return": -0.243439, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.062434, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.118873, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.406114, "worst_return": -0.352245, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"blue", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.009042, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.131624, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.060904, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.039153, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.200385, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.195517, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"relative_strength": -14.018328, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": -2.732277, "energy": 5.853534, "activity_lines": [ 9.158667, 9.346727, 9.452714, 9.359806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.18, "volume": 20772106, "typical_volume": 28672084.25, "trend": 9.139333, "fair_value": 10.460064, "relative_strength": -12.718008, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.349579, "energy": 31.066099, "activity_lines": [ 8.721333, 9.113636, 9.338333, 9.298237 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.69, "volume": 26121520, "typical_volume": 27158524.1, "trend": 9.173333, "fair_value": 10.443077, "relative_strength": -11.089591, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.850212, "energy": 36.553179, "activity_lines": [ 8.551333, 9.012364, 9.278238, 9.269247 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }