{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2c331417-18d0-41f3-bce0-853c0ce72e17", "symbol": "T24", "name": "Tuan Sing Holdings Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -79.025, "architecture_energy": 78.391, "architecture_maturity": 12.234, "architecture_confidence": 81.253, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.56, "rotation_up": 9.09, "upward_expansion": 16.72, "deceleration": 37.14, "rotation_down": 81.6, "downward_expansion": 94.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.301333, 0.306455, 0.313011, 0.315319 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.295, "trend_reference": 0.319929, "distance_from_trend": -0.07792, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.268315, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.099454, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.026387, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.127219, "excess_performance": -0.282054, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.07792, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007678, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.099454, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.178403, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.210264, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.249666, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.127219, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.202917, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1959500, "relative_activity": 0.366355, "balance": 0.202917, "dry_up": 0.313491, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.036506, "annualized_volatility": 0.263357, "from_high_reference": -0.197041, "from_low_reference": 0.115219 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.319929, "fair_value_reference": 0.268315, "structural_low": 0.284116, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.011608, "positive_rate": 0.40625, "directional_follow_through": 0.53125, "median_excess_return": -0.017994, "regime_survival": 0.90625, "best_return": 0.163264, "worst_return": -0.164834, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.066666, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": -0.077789, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.217394, "worst_return": -0.115227, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.099999, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.111963, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.369569, "worst_return": -0.197367, "sufficient": true }, { 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"close": 0.3, "volume": 1944800, "typical_volume": 5534770.0, "trend": 0.321483, "fair_value": 0.268148, "relative_strength": -18.724172, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.212088, "energy": 69.271653, "activity_lines": [ 0.307, 0.311455, 0.315956, 0.318052 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.305, "volume": 1067100, "typical_volume": 5394375.0, "trend": 0.320872, "fair_value": 0.268263, "relative_strength": -17.675086, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.990953, "energy": 65.339987, "activity_lines": [ 0.305333, 0.309636, 0.314963, 0.316989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.295, "volume": 1959500, "typical_volume": 5348635.0, "trend": 0.319929, "fair_value": 0.268315, "relative_strength": -21.026387, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.025127, "energy": 78.390719, "activity_lines": [ 0.301333, 0.306455, 0.313011, 0.315319 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }