{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2c394c57-528d-4c5e-94ff-00f5f65b5b2c", "symbol": "ESAU", "name": "Esautomotion S.p.A.", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.732, "architecture_energy": 76.023, "architecture_maturity": 13.534, "architecture_confidence": 70.013, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.79, "rotation_up": 72.87, "upward_expansion": 88.06, "deceleration": 47.67, "rotation_down": 8.14, "downward_expansion": 17.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.613333, 3.428, 3.286381, 3.250065 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 3.6, "trend_reference": 3.216667, "distance_from_trend": 0.119171, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.426281, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.050702, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.086899, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.077844, "excess_performance": -0.093047, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.119171, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016431, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.050702, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.12651, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.040869, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069847, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.077844, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 8.561837, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 40000, "relative_activity": 0.539811, "balance": 8.561837, "dry_up": 3.97942, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073504, "annualized_volatility": 0.420834, "from_high_reference": -0.108911, "from_low_reference": 0.343284 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.216667, "fair_value_reference": 3.426281, "structural_low": 2.86, "invalidation": "A sustained 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.090679, "energy": 16.262266, "activity_lines": [ 3.070667, 3.053091, 3.095524, 3.122409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.6, "volume": 1000000, "typical_volume": 67325.0, "trend": 3.155333, "fair_value": 3.441413, "relative_strength": -1.729883, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 40.793025, "energy": 36.935722, "activity_lines": [ 3.258667, 3.148727, 3.140667, 3.152301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.04, "volume": 90500, "typical_volume": 71200.0, "trend": 3.188667, "fair_value": 3.438339, "relative_strength": 10.601967, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.296681, "energy": 88.195492, "activity_lines": [ 3.552, 3.318182, 3.226476, 3.209376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.42, "volume": 49000, "typical_volume": 73425.0, "trend": 3.200667, "fair_value": 3.43167, "relative_strength": -6.538561, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.053171, "energy": 70.337445, "activity_lines": [ 3.568, 3.358909, 3.248476, 3.224301 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.6, "volume": 40000, "typical_volume": 74100.0, "trend": 3.216667, "fair_value": 3.426281, "relative_strength": -4.086899, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.732056, "energy": 76.02318, "activity_lines": [ 3.613333, 3.428, 3.286381, 3.250065 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }