{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2c50e62b-9e03-4529-9d90-7ece48b47ebd", "symbol": "SEMAC", "name": "Semac Construction Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 16.69, "architecture_energy": 13.45, "architecture_maturity": 21.482, "architecture_confidence": 72.68, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.96, "rotation_up": 22.46, "upward_expansion": 47.05, "deceleration": 83.19, "rotation_down": 30.67, "downward_expansion": 25.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 311.863328, 320.831814, 320.83333, 307.414901 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 307.399994, "trend_reference": 290.279332, "distance_from_trend": 0.05898, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 909.344821, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.661954, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.02957, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.188387, "excess_performance": 0.232096, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.05898, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008459, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.661954, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035081, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.100296, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050137, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.188387, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.400392, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2171, "relative_activity": 0.424218, "balance": 1.400392, "dry_up": 0.388899, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.138356, "annualized_volatility": 0.821761, "from_high_reference": -0.458803, "from_low_reference": 0.499512 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 290.279332, "fair_value_reference": 909.344821, "structural_low": 205.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.051119, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": 0.080587, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.136641, "worst_return": -0.007037, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.375437, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.304595, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.535679, "worst_return": 0.095245, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.253483, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.180445, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.817875, "worst_return": 0.145846, "sufficient": false }, { 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314.274999, 299.526838 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 317.649994, "volume": 1607, "typical_volume": 7420.1, "trend": 288.157666, "fair_value": 941.854182, "relative_strength": -10.035207, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.051841, "energy": 28.390959, "activity_lines": [ 334.093329, 334.844543, 316.678379, 301.448601 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 309.0, "volume": 4296, "typical_volume": 7365.1, "trend": 288.375999, "fair_value": 933.430083, "relative_strength": -11.891311, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.973841, "energy": 24.419163, "activity_lines": [ 326.116663, 330.194543, 318.022617, 302.793267 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 319.899994, "volume": 775, "typical_volume": 7097.95, "trend": 289.120999, "fair_value": 925.035239, "relative_strength": -5.535623, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.848454, "energy": 17.056486, "activity_lines": [ 322.836662, 327.513634, 320.084236, 304.827074 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 311.399994, "volume": 719, "typical_volume": 6852.0, "trend": 289.567666, "fair_value": 917.650285, "relative_strength": -9.31377, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.460541, "energy": 18.990522, "activity_lines": [ 316.629995, 324.573633, 320.878093, 306.264428 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 307.399994, "volume": 2171, "typical_volume": 5117.65, "trend": 290.279332, "fair_value": 909.344821, "relative_strength": -10.02957, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.690232, "energy": 13.449962, "activity_lines": [ 311.863328, 320.831814, 320.83333, 307.414901 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }