{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2c578c34-9478-441c-b999-2d8053f2aad5", "symbol": "HOFI", "name": "Hoist Finance AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.417, "architecture_energy": 93.131, "architecture_maturity": 86.0, "architecture_confidence": 80.733, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.89, "rotation_up": 84.07, "upward_expansion": 97.56, "deceleration": 41.86, "rotation_down": 8.61, "downward_expansion": 21.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 206.139998, 193.996362, 180.565503, 170.817187 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 214.399994, "trend_reference": 157.460804, "distance_from_trend": 0.361609, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 85.037323, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.521246, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 46.672455, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.5651, "excess_performance": 0.503606, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.361609, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.218651, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.521246, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.270108, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.466725, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.1006, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.5651, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.843356, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 784976, "relative_activity": 1.430568, "balance": 1.843356, "dry_up": 1.372621, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057082, "annualized_volatility": 0.45001, "from_high_reference": -0.035104, "from_low_reference": 1.451071 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 157.460804, "fair_value_reference": 85.037323, "structural_low": 131.015276, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.030241, "positive_rate": 0.586207, "directional_follow_through": 0.586207, "median_excess_return": 0.027087, "regime_survival": 0.793103, "best_return": 0.264793, "worst_return": -0.118205, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.20979, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.117352, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.383128, "worst_return": -0.227508, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.192452, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.059352, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.792311, "worst_return": -0.201516, "sufficient": true }, { 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156.86057 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 174.699997, "volume": 385029, "typical_volume": 572916.8, "trend": 147.137767, "fair_value": 81.530401, "relative_strength": 30.530837, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.746178, "energy": 58.590373, "activity_lines": [ 177.526664, 173.969089, 166.227533, 158.789696 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 207.600006, "volume": 1111318, "typical_volume": 579221.25, "trend": 150.454847, "fair_value": 82.67112, "relative_strength": 50.706628, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.319961, "energy": 84.531763, "activity_lines": [ 188.166667, 180.60909, 170.854784, 162.690486 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 216.0, "volume": 731397, "typical_volume": 547846.95, "trend": 153.981281, "fair_value": 83.861462, "relative_strength": 52.515153, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.646913, "energy": 93.513544, "activity_lines": [ 198.753334, 187.894545, 175.963219, 166.919205 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 214.399994, "volume": 784976, "typical_volume": 548716.5, "trend": 157.460804, "fair_value": 85.037323, "relative_strength": 46.672455, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.416686, "energy": 93.130964, "activity_lines": [ 206.139998, 193.996362, 180.565503, 170.817187 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }