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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 53.348, "architecture_energy": 61.131, "architecture_maturity": 53.225, "architecture_confidence": 58.795, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.75, "rotation_up": 46.86, "upward_expansion": 74.96, "deceleration": 69.76, "rotation_down": 27.98, "downward_expansion": 24.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 1178.279981, 1181.927324, 1158.453963, 1137.424682 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 1172.849976, "trend_reference": 1114.013818, "distance_from_trend": 0.052815, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 921.743987, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.272425, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.07013, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.07771, "excess_performance": 0.132376, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.052815, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042789, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.272425, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018348, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.070701, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.096277, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.07771, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.05259, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.05259, "dry_up": 1.076168, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.012249, "annualized_volatility": 0.161953, "from_high_reference": -0.023439, "from_low_reference": 0.229449 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1114.013818, "fair_value_reference": 921.743987, "structural_low": 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1200.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 92.95, "trend": 1102.252152, "fair_value": 912.958253, "relative_strength": 10.27174, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.436569, "energy": 90.791718, "activity_lines": [ 1195.670671, 1180.755804, 1143.672748, 1124.5222 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1172.849976, "volume": 373, "typical_volume": 86.65, "trend": 1105.82382, "fair_value": 915.915593, "relative_strength": 8.102913, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.491306, "energy": 76.478939, "activity_lines": [ 1188.749992, 1182.610048, 1149.056248, 1129.076898 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1172.849976, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 86.65, "trend": 1110.485486, "fair_value": 918.82979, "relative_strength": 7.16241, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.336803, "energy": 63.906793, "activity_lines": [ 1182.976652, 1182.850548, 1153.98332, 1133.401166 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1172.849976, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 86.65, "trend": 1114.013818, "fair_value": 921.743987, "relative_strength": 7.07013, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.348447, "energy": 61.130935, "activity_lines": [ 1178.279981, 1181.927324, 1158.453963, 1137.424682 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }