{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2c779657-a24b-4882-b78a-4c37e4c14672", "symbol": "AURE", "name": "Prestige Wealth Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.141, "architecture_energy": 61.952, "architecture_maturity": 29.854, "architecture_confidence": 79.759, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.27, "rotation_up": 12.18, "upward_expansion": 12.09, "deceleration": 41.63, "rotation_down": 70.65, "downward_expansion": 87.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.687133, 1.813345, 2.054414, 2.113622 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.6614, "trend_reference": 2.20981, "distance_from_trend": -0.248171, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.704059, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.75218, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -58.456875, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.363936, "excess_performance": -0.551389, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.248171, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.232606, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.75218, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.078226, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.584569, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08124, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.363936, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.039192, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 182585, "relative_activity": 0.590752, "balance": 2.039192, "dry_up": 1.629977, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.199211, "annualized_volatility": 0.973012, "from_high_reference": -0.886205, "from_low_reference": 0.32912 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.20981, "fair_value_reference": 6.704059, "structural_low": 1.25, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.005923, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.000766, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.124232, "worst_return": -0.119449, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.249177, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.330993, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.076479, "worst_return": -0.421875, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.466089, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.625292, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.466089, "worst_return": -0.466089, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.042807, "energy": 76.137646, "activity_lines": [ 1.915333, 2.145193, 2.243784, 2.268128 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.79, "volume": 1758245, "typical_volume": 409365.3, "trend": 2.328663, "fair_value": 6.820654, "relative_strength": -55.63945, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.654887, "energy": 71.547691, "activity_lines": [ 1.82, 2.057485, 2.202503, 2.228928 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.7, "volume": 47594, "typical_volume": 315524.55, "trend": 2.283163, "fair_value": 6.781265, "relative_strength": -56.432147, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.315236, "energy": 76.196513, "activity_lines": [ 1.738667, 1.963596, 2.151842, 2.188369 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.71, "volume": 26697, "typical_volume": 306887.0, "trend": 2.24683, "fair_value": 6.742553, "relative_strength": -55.753921, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.764242, "energy": 74.535659, "activity_lines": [ 1.705333, 1.885707, 2.10499, 2.151391 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.6614, "volume": 182585, "typical_volume": 309071.95, "trend": 2.20981, "fair_value": 6.704059, "relative_strength": -58.456875, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.14133, "energy": 61.951651, "activity_lines": [ 1.687133, 1.813345, 2.054414, 2.113622 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }