{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2c7af16d-0624-4f9a-acd6-10d519e9502e",
    "symbol": "SA",
    "name": "Siamese Asset Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 48.327,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -57.217,
    "architecture_energy": 40.911,
    "architecture_maturity": 8.972,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.296,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 19.09,
        "rotation_up": 16.22,
        "upward_expansion": 6.35,
        "deceleration": 43.96,
        "rotation_down": 58.19,
        "downward_expansion": 82.02
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.063333,
        7.079091,
        7.106667,
        7.120538
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 7.05,
    "trend_reference": 7.136667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.012144,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 7.19568,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.020246,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -15.205215,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.020833,
    "excess_performance": -0.213158,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.012144,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003491,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020246,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006056,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.152052,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016414,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020833,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.992519,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 145600,
      "relative_activity": 1.746222,
      "balance": 0.992519,
      "dry_up": 1.294075,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.01473,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.092851,
      "from_high_reference": -0.047297,
      "from_low_reference": 0.052239
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 7.136667,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.19568,
      "structural_low": 6.7,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": -0.007143,
        "positive_rate": 0.37037,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.62963,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006405,
        "regime_survival": 0.851852,
        "best_return": 0.1,
        "worst_return": -0.113382,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.017077,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.028215,
        "regime_survival": 0.7,
        "best_return": 0.051852,
        "worst_return": -0.144578,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.020548,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.03942,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.018069,
        "worst_return": -0.138638,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.02976,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "best_return": 0.120512,
        "worst_return": -0.231257,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.03125,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.019608,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 7.15,
        "volume": 150900,
        "typical_volume": 996745.0,
        "trend": 7.165,
        "fair_value": 7.191107,
        "relative_strength": -15.106069,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 16.32655,
        "energy": 6.243132,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 163200,
        "typical_volume": 1001770.0,
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        "fair_value": 7.189083,
        "relative_strength": -16.84663,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.778742,
        "energy": 30.594201,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.11,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 92200,
        "typical_volume": 1004480.0,
        "trend": 7.158333,
        "fair_value": 7.187706,
        "relative_strength": -15.609346,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -41.92187,
        "energy": 26.560807,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.113333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 102300,
        "typical_volume": 1005170.0,
        "trend": 7.16,
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        "relative_strength": -15.683153,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -8.708013,
        "energy": 10.365639,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 997260.0,
        "trend": 7.161667,
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        "relative_strength": -17.3155,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.746518,
        "energy": 20.21971,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 23600,
        "typical_volume": 980410.0,
        "trend": 7.165,
        "fair_value": 7.186734,
        "relative_strength": -16.930184,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -2.962234,
        "energy": 4.890731,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 7200,
        "typical_volume": 972805.0,
        "trend": 7.17,
        "fair_value": 7.186931,
        "relative_strength": -17.418875,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -7.35154,
        "energy": 7.183014,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 21500,
        "typical_volume": 664675.0,
        "trend": 7.17,
        "fair_value": 7.186493,
        "relative_strength": -16.256308,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -35.159494,
        "energy": 13.170852,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 33300,
        "typical_volume": 212100.0,
        "trend": 7.17,
        "fair_value": 7.187633,
        "relative_strength": -13.365955,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -37.375705,
        "energy": 15.021331,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.143333,
          7.144545,
          7.149286,
          7.155914
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 7.1,
        "volume": 11600,
        "typical_volume": 104025.0,
        "trend": 7.17,
        "fair_value": 7.189398,
        "relative_strength": -17.022836,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.235372,
        "energy": 28.730134,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 7.05,
        "volume": 64200,
        "typical_volume": 102680.0,
        "trend": 7.161667,
        "fair_value": 7.190213,
        "relative_strength": -17.495912,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.303562,
        "energy": 44.414189,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.096667,
          7.121818,
          7.135476,
          7.143656
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 7.05,
        "volume": 103300,
        "typical_volume": 100740.0,
        "trend": 7.155,
        "fair_value": 7.191342,
        "relative_strength": -17.877018,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.414824,
        "energy": 48.742974,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.076667,
          7.108182,
          7.126667,
          7.136452
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 7.05,
        "volume": 75900,
        "typical_volume": 92895.0,
        "trend": 7.148333,
        "fair_value": 7.192472,
        "relative_strength": -17.6179,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.396957,
        "energy": 54.061178,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.063333,
          7.093636,
          7.118571,
          7.129677
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.1,
        "volume": 106800,
        "typical_volume": 87830.0,
        "trend": 7.143333,
        "fair_value": 7.193921,
        "relative_strength": -15.616503,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.008771,
        "energy": 46.75974,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.07,
          7.09,
          7.114762,
          7.126559
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.05,
        "volume": 145600,
        "typical_volume": 83380.0,
        "trend": 7.136667,
        "fair_value": 7.19568,
        "relative_strength": -15.205215,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.217368,
        "energy": 40.911205,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.063333,
          7.079091,
          7.106667,
          7.120538
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}