{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2c853898-f5e8-4e91-ae2e-9e9fda397305", "symbol": "300340", "name": "Jiangmen Kanhoo Industry Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.122, "architecture_energy": 63.921, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.22, "rotation_up": 23.72, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 58.4, "rotation_down": 59.48, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.08, 8.265273, 9.04581, 9.692237 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.46, "trend_reference": 10.592333, "distance_from_trend": -0.201309, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.037308, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.233509, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.623057, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.286076, "excess_performance": -0.293476, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.201309, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.131657, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.233509, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.242158, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.336231, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003519, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.286076, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.30179, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25531342, "relative_activity": 0.955789, "balance": 0.30179, "dry_up": 1.11265, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086652, "annualized_volatility": 0.359017, "from_high_reference": -0.591304, "from_low_reference": 0.201705 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.592333, "fair_value_reference": 11.037308, "structural_low": 7.04, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.02723, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.012872, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 1.103975, "worst_return": -0.18354, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.036067, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.071675, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.910734, "worst_return": -0.290459, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.110513, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.013952, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.510734, "worst_return": -0.274057, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.283296, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.039815, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.1002, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.109605, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.575572, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.65, "volume": 25314020, "typical_volume": 28213843.55, "trend": 11.029667, "fair_value": 11.135192, "relative_strength": -41.002394, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.442768, "energy": 92.695188, "activity_lines": [ 8.19, 8.726545, 9.609524, 10.233548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.54, "volume": 30090597, "typical_volume": 28178218.95, "trend": 10.869667, "fair_value": 11.0975, "relative_strength": -40.876436, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.706693, "energy": 90.116126, "activity_lines": [ 7.894667, 8.421091, 9.350143, 10.008409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.23, "volume": 37949862, "typical_volume": 27885563.6, "trend": 10.721, "fair_value": 11.066923, "relative_strength": -33.277134, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.69716, "energy": 74.827887, "activity_lines": [ 7.936667, 8.301455, 9.17719, 9.838108 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.46, "volume": 25531342, "typical_volume": 26712307.55, "trend": 10.592333, "fair_value": 11.037308, "relative_strength": -33.623057, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.122095, "energy": 63.921206, "activity_lines": [ 8.08, 8.265273, 9.04581, 9.692237 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }