{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2c8ab62c-d868-49c6-9da1-b3424cf36163",
    "symbol": "3388",
    "name": "Topco Technologies Corp.",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -23.268,
    "architecture_energy": 42.15,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.207,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.859,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 29.47,
        "rotation_up": 16.8,
        "upward_expansion": 23.46,
        "deceleration": 51.89,
        "rotation_down": 62.31,
        "downward_expansion": 53.13
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        76.593334,
        78.353074,
        85.070151,
        83.404746
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 83.900002,
    "trend_reference": 78.772574,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.065092,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 65.643754,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.278111,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -12.992242,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.406317,
    "excess_performance": -0.035055,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065092,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.099126,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.278111,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.194585,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.129922,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.124508,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.406317,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.432843,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5718755,
      "relative_activity": 0.929086,
      "balance": 1.432843,
      "dry_up": 0.558646,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.110707,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.638831,
      "from_high_reference": -0.338015,
      "from_low_reference": 0.427066
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 78.772574,
      "fair_value_reference": 65.643754,
      "structural_low": 59.273859,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.00565,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004075,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.00565,
        "worst_return": -0.00565,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.009887,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.087225,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.009887,
        "worst_return": 0.009887,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.025424,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.103844,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.025424,
        "worst_return": -0.025424,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.062017,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.195488,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.062017,
        "worst_return": -0.062017,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-01-26",
        "end": "2024-02-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.044412,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-01",
        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.055896,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-07-19",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.026099,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.026836,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.009972,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.017316,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.04271,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.003115,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.009569,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.008064,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.421851,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.19376,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.155647,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-11",
        "close": 60.369347,
        "volume": 303000,
        "typical_volume": 283900.0,
        "trend": 61.052775,
        "fair_value": 58.355956,
        "relative_strength": -9.276825,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "direction": -57.667805,
        "energy": 33.039625,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "relative_strength": -20.951949,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -6.868588,
        "energy": 23.376175,
        "activity_lines": [
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          87.955154,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 71.800003,
        "volume": 2669658,
        "typical_volume": 5823776.4,
        "trend": 77.507498,
        "fair_value": 65.419563,
        "relative_strength": -22.042388,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -29.619742,
        "energy": 48.863032,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 72.599998,
        "volume": 2275292,
        "typical_volume": 5888030.5,
        "trend": 77.951702,
        "fair_value": 65.495721,
        "relative_strength": -22.485591,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -27.840789,
        "energy": 54.318556,
        "activity_lines": [
          73.653334,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 83.900002,
        "volume": 5718755,
        "typical_volume": 6155249.75,
        "trend": 78.772574,
        "fair_value": 65.643754,
        "relative_strength": -12.992242,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.268273,
        "energy": 42.150293,
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          76.593334,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}