{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2ca324ee-f5de-4d24-8ba5-91c342f08e4a", "symbol": "ALV", "name": "Allianz SE", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.755, "architecture_energy": 88.855, "architecture_maturity": 43.177, "architecture_confidence": 76.34, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.35, "rotation_up": 80.12, "upward_expansion": 97.97, "deceleration": 40.37, "rotation_down": 14.86, "downward_expansion": 19.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 431.453339, 423.20364, 405.551084, 392.187912 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 439.700012, "trend_reference": 377.516704, "distance_from_trend": 0.164717, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 293.640684, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.497408, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.757604, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.187455, "excess_performance": 0.013208, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.164717, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050804, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.497408, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.161696, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.017576, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.087646, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.187455, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 30.787234, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 183, "relative_activity": 1.274817, "balance": 30.787234, "dry_up": 1.118077, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.029618, "annualized_volatility": 0.217838, "from_high_reference": -0.008345, "from_low_reference": 0.35265 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 377.516704, "fair_value_reference": 293.640684, "structural_low": 325.065518, 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"typical_volume": 162.75, "trend": 371.263913, "fair_value": 288.989575, "relative_strength": -1.646077, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.712382, "energy": 90.766967, "activity_lines": [ 419.160002, 407.014546, 390.681126, 380.705397 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 426.600006, "volume": 170, "typical_volume": 155.2, "trend": 373.010321, "fair_value": 290.499761, "relative_strength": -2.145821, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.540399, "energy": 89.793392, "activity_lines": [ 422.913336, 412.260001, 395.530516, 384.275467 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 431.0, "volume": 115, "typical_volume": 153.9, "trend": 375.046807, "fair_value": 292.069411, "relative_strength": -1.007114, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.249628, "energy": 88.474497, "activity_lines": [ 426.506669, 417.360001, 400.344593, 388.016737 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 439.700012, "volume": 183, "typical_volume": 143.55, "trend": 377.516704, "fair_value": 293.640684, "relative_strength": -1.757604, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.755027, "energy": 88.855272, "activity_lines": [ 431.453339, 423.20364, 405.551084, 392.187912 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }