{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2ca96094-35a9-45ab-b900-a27198321313", "symbol": "300655", "name": "Crystal Clear Electronic Material Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.278, "architecture_energy": 47.276, "architecture_maturity": 18.288, "architecture_confidence": 67.083, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.61, "rotation_up": 10.89, "upward_expansion": 6.86, "deceleration": 50.69, "rotation_down": 69.32, "downward_expansion": 75.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.966667, 14.518182, 14.88898, 15.102653 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 13.48, "trend_reference": 15.72756, "distance_from_trend": -0.142906, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.967023, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.229139, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.471769, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.232783, "excess_performance": -0.240183, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.142906, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025386, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.229139, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.133641, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.144718, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018015, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.232783, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.951677, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 362223773, "relative_activity": 1.359979, "balance": 0.951677, "dry_up": 1.43844, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.1911, "annualized_volatility": 0.642654, "from_high_reference": -0.378802, "from_low_reference": 0.332989 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.72756, "fair_value_reference": 10.967023, "structural_low": 10.66, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.03592, "positive_rate": 0.652174, "directional_follow_through": 0.347826, "median_excess_return": 0.012532, "regime_survival": 0.695652, "best_return": 0.385113, "worst_return": -0.243252, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.096847, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.038113, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.690054, "worst_return": -0.330893, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.071225, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.027713, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.877117, "worst_return": -0.306425, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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17.58, 16.482353, 15.704904, 15.905587 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 17.59, "volume": 516036086, "typical_volume": 229650349.6, "trend": 16.30056, "fair_value": 10.939434, "relative_strength": 6.039457, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 21.790532, "energy": 51.661298, "activity_lines": [ 17.87, 16.813676, 15.894538, 15.992174 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.22, "volume": 371260299, "typical_volume": 235955280.0, "trend": 16.14856, "fair_value": 10.950123, "relative_strength": -12.604992, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -8.587364, "energy": 18.340444, "activity_lines": [ 16.496, 16.280111, 15.667887, 15.793428 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.01, "volume": 408462063, "typical_volume": 244661558.85, "trend": 15.99256, "fair_value": 10.952869, "relative_strength": -20.904341, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.445118, "energy": 27.092719, "activity_lines": [ 14.838, 15.55123, 15.349331, 15.526424 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.76, "volume": 390539792, "typical_volume": 255381540.0, "trend": 15.815893, "fair_value": 10.953258, "relative_strength": -21.344584, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.743502, "energy": 48.339567, "activity_lines": [ 13.39, 14.840012, 15.026822, 15.253356 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.48, "volume": 362223773, "typical_volume": 266345157.15, "trend": 15.72756, "fair_value": 10.967023, "relative_strength": -14.471769, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.277932, "energy": 47.276311, "activity_lines": [ 12.966667, 14.518182, 14.88898, 15.102653 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }