{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2caa72df-29f2-4d0d-a263-dd02277904cf", "symbol": "300507", "name": "Jiangsu Olive Sensors High-Tech Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.425, "architecture_energy": 73.771, "architecture_maturity": 52.468, "architecture_confidence": 87.504, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.53, "rotation_up": 12.76, "upward_expansion": 16.72, "deceleration": 39.05, "rotation_down": 70.11, "downward_expansion": 90.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.408, 6.677985, 7.240138, 7.663394 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.58, "trend_reference": 8.285564, "distance_from_trend": -0.205848, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.124954, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.076485, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.551315, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.312435, "excess_performance": -0.319834, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.205848, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.084121, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.076485, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.323474, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.265513, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.078856, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.312435, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.928316, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 36374172, "relative_activity": 0.629027, "balance": 0.928316, "dry_up": 0.689815, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.110137, "annualized_volatility": 0.464869, "from_high_reference": -0.389044, "from_low_reference": 0.140381 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.285564, "fair_value_reference": 7.124954, "structural_low": 5.77, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.031231, "positive_rate": 0.6875, "directional_follow_through": 0.3125, "median_excess_return": 0.019496, "regime_survival": 0.6875, "best_return": 0.153061, "worst_return": -0.162132, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.056485, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.047569, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.276697, "worst_return": -0.14455, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.032081, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.065751, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.166536, "worst_return": -0.023474, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"fair_value": 7.12003, "relative_strength": -32.371851, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.455599, "energy": 70.457042, "activity_lines": [ 6.590361, 6.914422, 7.496442, 7.916607 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.34, "volume": 38810062, "typical_volume": 58261385.2, "trend": 8.372564, "fair_value": 7.120308, "relative_strength": -25.993303, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.951544, "energy": 71.701866, "activity_lines": [ 6.444, 6.751938, 7.350743, 7.779044 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.58, "volume": 36374172, "typical_volume": 57826044.55, "trend": 8.285564, "fair_value": 7.124954, "relative_strength": -26.551315, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.424669, "energy": 73.771346, "activity_lines": [ 6.408, 6.677985, 7.240138, 7.663394 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }