{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2cac365f-cc52-430b-9b30-a43c4531d150", "symbol": "003028", "name": "Genbyte Technology Inc.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.477, "architecture_energy": 56.184, "architecture_maturity": 56.309, "architecture_confidence": 87.313, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.92, "rotation_up": 16.69, "upward_expansion": 8.89, "deceleration": 51.41, "rotation_down": 64.54, "downward_expansion": 82.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.594, 22.229273, 24.107476, 25.398262 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 22.49, "trend_reference": 27.182871, "distance_from_trend": -0.172641, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 28.647834, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.214949, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.455631, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.270312, "excess_performance": -0.277712, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.172641, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082473, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.214949, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.206508, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.254556, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015019, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.270312, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.427416, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5308999, "relative_activity": 0.754449, "balance": 0.427416, "dry_up": 0.706491, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.103807, "annualized_volatility": 0.412266, "from_high_reference": -0.388699, "from_low_reference": 0.138158 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.182871, "fair_value_reference": 28.647834, "structural_low": 19.76, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.002577, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.014089, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.049003, "worst_return": -0.146087, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.026396, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.049823, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.057602, "worst_return": -0.208232, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.011219, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.145277, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.007095, "worst_return": -0.240341, "sufficient": false }, { 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"typical_volume": 7190148.5, "trend": 27.671055, "fair_value": 28.73412, "relative_strength": -31.489885, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.301754, "energy": 75.635987, "activity_lines": [ 21.695334, 22.919818, 24.86641, 26.126239 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.309999, "volume": 4077140, "typical_volume": 7042126.5, "trend": 27.412592, "fair_value": 28.677329, "relative_strength": -26.373972, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.55198, "energy": 74.71342, "activity_lines": [ 21.432, 22.399636, 24.410092, 25.715848 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.49, "volume": 5308999, "typical_volume": 7036920.4, "trend": 27.182871, "fair_value": 28.647834, "relative_strength": -25.455631, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.477274, "energy": 56.184442, "activity_lines": [ 21.594, 22.229273, 24.107476, 25.398262 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }