{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2caedd0a-e13e-452a-9237-9457e22b48d6", "symbol": "A31", "name": "Addvalue Technologies Ltd", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 36.711, "architecture_energy": 23.443, "architecture_maturity": 59.324, "architecture_confidence": 94.191, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.81, "rotation_up": 33.88, "upward_expansion": 61.19, "deceleration": 86.84, "rotation_down": 24.7, "downward_expansion": 13.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.144267, 0.143982, 0.144929, 0.13374 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.145, "trend_reference": 0.1172, "distance_from_trend": 0.237201, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.035981, "distance_from_fair_value": 3.029931, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 46.772453, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.883117, "excess_performance": 0.728282, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.237201, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.352308, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 3.029931, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.944886, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.467725, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.212746, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.883117, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.244409, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 220123900, "relative_activity": 0.607737, "balance": 1.244409, "dry_up": 0.97772, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.138992, "annualized_volatility": 0.792947, "from_high_reference": -0.292683, "from_low_reference": 6.25 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.1172, "fair_value_reference": 0.035981, "structural_low": 0.072, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.066161, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.153846, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.076923, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.218727, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.058824, "worst_return": -0.25, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.262443, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.358557, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.230769, "worst_return": -0.294118, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.131222, 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"2026-07-31", "close": 0.143, "volume": 298928400, "typical_volume": 365370415.0, "trend": 0.114633, "fair_value": 0.035135, "relative_strength": 49.955078, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.754553, "energy": 19.831751, "activity_lines": [ 0.143267, 0.145364, 0.14379, 0.131781 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.145, "volume": 220123900, "typical_volume": 362202330.0, "trend": 0.1172, "fair_value": 0.035981, "relative_strength": 46.772453, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.711477, "energy": 23.442652, "activity_lines": [ 0.144267, 0.143982, 0.144929, 0.13374 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }