{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2cb09b51-6674-4ef9-9ad3-b1c590a5b27c", "symbol": "6709", "name": "Advagene Biopharma Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.694, "architecture_energy": 26.205, "architecture_maturity": 68.504, "architecture_confidence": 65.517, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.56, "rotation_up": 22.56, "upward_expansion": 9.36, "deceleration": 65.54, "rotation_down": 40.3, "downward_expansion": 68.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.71, 24.678182, 25.007468, 25.84108 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 25.0, "trend_reference": 27.118946, "distance_from_trend": -0.078135, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 24.584733, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.016891, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -37.991492, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.244713, "excess_performance": -0.686085, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.078135, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052523, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.016891, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012286, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.379915, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014381, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.244713, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.516846, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 86346, "relative_activity": 0.285029, "balance": 0.516846, "dry_up": 0.664395, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075538, "annualized_volatility": 0.301876, "from_high_reference": -0.390244, "from_low_reference": 0.157407 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.118946, "fair_value_reference": 24.584733, "structural_low": 22.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.486486, "directional_follow_through": 0.486486, "median_excess_return": -0.018965, "regime_survival": 0.783784, "best_return": 0.410995, "worst_return": -0.158562, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.016452, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.083755, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.24, "worst_return": -0.130435, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.106856, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.13354, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.808824, "worst_return": -0.225, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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44.357068, "activity_lines": [ 24.466667, 24.75, 25.311541, 26.333242 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.299999, "volume": 252455, "typical_volume": 301411.0, "trend": 27.242279, "fair_value": 24.626974, "relative_strength": -39.511688, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.869032, "energy": 49.750966, "activity_lines": [ 24.046666, 24.416363, 25.042643, 26.068471 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.9, "volume": 382612, "typical_volume": 310395.75, "trend": 27.182279, "fair_value": 24.608451, "relative_strength": -34.002521, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.022457, "energy": 35.69614, "activity_lines": [ 24.553333, 24.629091, 25.057794, 25.981872 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 25.0, "volume": 86346, "typical_volume": 302937.15, "trend": 27.118946, "fair_value": 24.584733, "relative_strength": -37.991492, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.694349, "energy": 26.205376, "activity_lines": [ 24.71, 24.678182, 25.007468, 25.84108 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }