{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2cd45951-cf53-4fa3-92be-b32ec5cafe71", "symbol": "DUNI", "name": "Duniec Bros. Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.96, "architecture_energy": 67.067, "architecture_maturity": 93.402, "architecture_confidence": 95.732, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.53, "rotation_up": 29.91, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 58.91, "rotation_down": 55.73, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 241.033333, 248.118182, 6484.778571, 11280.302151 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 211.0, "trend_reference": 17024.656667, "distance_from_trend": -0.987606, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 20726.472436, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.98982, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -99.093889, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.991986, "excess_performance": -1.020887, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.987606, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.351812, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.98982, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.238135, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.990939, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.828598, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.991986, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.567234, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 149986, "relative_activity": 1.994235, "balance": 0.567234, "dry_up": 0.956361, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 12.378126, "annualized_volatility": 6.306529, "from_high_reference": -0.99318, "from_low_reference": 0.012962 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17024.656667, "fair_value_reference": 20726.472436, "structural_low": 208.3, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.018462, "positive_rate": 0.705882, "directional_follow_through": 0.294118, "median_excess_return": 0.014135, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.209247, "worst_return": -0.98869, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.085286, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.088253, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.279745, "worst_return": -0.98936, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.127495, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.063744, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.359773, "worst_return": 0.026748, "sufficient": false }, { 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"2026-07-24", "close": 250.9, "volume": 22008, "typical_volume": 68090.45, "trend": 18893.216667, "fair_value": 20966.708333, "relative_strength": -98.994052, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.107608, "energy": 67.903734, "activity_lines": [ 257.846667, 1506.721818, 9107.736667, 13628.687527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 252.2, "volume": 78766, "typical_volume": 69997.8, "trend": 17969.956667, "fair_value": 20846.914744, "relative_strength": -98.937258, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.822874, "energy": 67.256035, "activity_lines": [ 256.446667, 686.276364, 7735.724762, 12426.04129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 211.0, "volume": 149986, "typical_volume": 75209.8, "trend": 17024.656667, "fair_value": 20726.472436, "relative_strength": -99.093889, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.959703, "energy": 67.067226, "activity_lines": [ 241.033333, 248.118182, 6484.778571, 11280.302151 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }