{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2ce442f0-acd4-4294-8d69-1f02c99c6809", "symbol": "SVR", "name": "Savor Limited", "exchange": "NZE", "country": "NZ", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NZ50", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -38.9, "architecture_energy": 25.555, "architecture_maturity": 98.8, "architecture_confidence": 90.884, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.7, "rotation_up": 30.19, "upward_expansion": 18.7, "deceleration": 44.17, "rotation_down": 28.87, "downward_expansion": 64.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.169933, 0.1662, 0.171852, 0.178366 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.17, "trend_reference": 0.188367, "distance_from_trend": -0.097505, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.21791, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.219862, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.072986, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.244444, "excess_performance": -0.272718, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.097505, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087076, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.219862, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035396, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.17073, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099953, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.244444, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.111601, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 40078, "relative_activity": 0.399737, "balance": 0.111601, "dry_up": 2.400229, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066516, "annualized_volatility": 0.448346, "from_high_reference": -0.32, "from_low_reference": 0.133333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.188367, "fair_value_reference": 0.21791, "structural_low": 0.15, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 41, "median_return": -0.010526, "positive_rate": 0.439024, "directional_follow_through": 0.512195, "median_excess_return": -0.009751, "regime_survival": 0.853659, "best_return": 0.239434, "worst_return": -0.217391, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.046575, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.04099, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.123596, "worst_return": -0.231434, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.131818, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.15853, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.04878, "worst_return": -0.239437, "sufficient": true }, { 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.182, "volume": 111545, "typical_volume": 99919.95, "trend": 0.191967, "fair_value": 0.220045, "relative_strength": -11.887515, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.635694, "energy": 46.042237, "activity_lines": [ 0.1652, 0.164764, 0.173676, 0.180968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.172, "volume": 4977, "typical_volume": 98288.3, "trend": 0.190367, "fair_value": 0.218904, "relative_strength": -15.859794, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.596225, "energy": 32.283198, "activity_lines": [ 0.1682, 0.165418, 0.172781, 0.17968 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.17, "volume": 40078, "typical_volume": 100260.95, "trend": 0.188367, "fair_value": 0.21791, "relative_strength": -17.072986, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.899684, "energy": 25.55547, "activity_lines": [ 0.169933, 0.1662, 0.171852, 0.178366 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }