{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2cef7079-3e78-4ec8-9788-d2dc648d8d9c",
    "symbol": "AEIS",
    "name": "Advanced Energy Industries Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 68.133,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -23.998,
    "architecture_energy": 29.912,
    "architecture_maturity": 30.272,
    "architecture_confidence": 44.357,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 52.04,
        "rotation_up": 21.71,
        "upward_expansion": 12.98,
        "deceleration": 48.1,
        "rotation_down": 51.37,
        "downward_expansion": 52.32
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        304.753333,
        312.628364,
        323.949843,
        325.84181
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 325.02,
    "trend_reference": 320.252496,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.014887,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 160.345353,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.027,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 8.346695,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.190144,
    "excess_performance": 0.002691,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014887,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.123618,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.027,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.474866,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083467,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.299386,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.190144,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.526961,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4611531,
      "relative_activity": 1.12684,
      "balance": 0.526961,
      "dry_up": 0.913548,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.154578,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.588176,
      "from_high_reference": -0.181964,
      "from_low_reference": 1.270814
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 320.252496,
      "fair_value_reference": 160.345353,
      "structural_low": 248.79,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.126742,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.077424,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.151995,
        "worst_return": -0.148274,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.069502,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.072995,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.048721,
        "worst_return": -0.187726,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.047006,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.111859,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.215821,
        "worst_return": -0.121809,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.137675,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.193928,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.251645,
        "worst_return": 0.023704,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-03-07",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
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      {
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      {
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      {
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 3963204.25,
        "trend": 311.602726,
        "fair_value": 156.654871,
        "relative_strength": 1.077166,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.411708,
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          310.338,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 3016620,
        "typical_volume": 3940079.05,
        "trend": 314.478165,
        "fair_value": 157.83383,
        "relative_strength": 8.913537,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -13.662036,
        "energy": 27.608695,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 289.52,
        "volume": 4683560,
        "typical_volume": 4027073.75,
        "trend": 316.733688,
        "fair_value": 158.972506,
        "relative_strength": 2.312629,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -29.432177,
        "energy": 40.839446,
        "activity_lines": [
          296.205333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 325.02,
        "volume": 4611531,
        "typical_volume": 4092445.6,
        "trend": 320.252496,
        "fair_value": 160.345353,
        "relative_strength": 8.346695,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.997947,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}