{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2ceff5fe-880c-4a70-8003-f7041b19b817",
    "symbol": "KSS",
    "name": "Kohl's Corporation",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 49.688,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 66.303,
    "architecture_energy": 44.923,
    "architecture_maturity": 30.823,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.236,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 27.35,
        "rotation_up": 58.83,
        "upward_expansion": 78.91,
        "deceleration": 56.73,
        "rotation_down": 17.69,
        "downward_expansion": 5.58
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        18.552,
        18.215985,
        16.838127,
        16.19073
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 19.3,
    "trend_reference": 15.957184,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.209487,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 16.473683,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.171566,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.57943,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.062386,
    "excess_performance": -0.063239,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.209487,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048155,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.171566,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.309444,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035794,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.154615,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062386,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.531686,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 16512727,
      "relative_activity": 0.746164,
      "balance": 2.531686,
      "dry_up": 0.727356,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.119674,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.616864,
      "from_high_reference": -0.21657,
      "from_low_reference": 0.746674
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 15.957184,
      "fair_value_reference": 16.473683,
      "structural_low": 11.291066,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.121023,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.102811,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.403542,
        "worst_return": -0.157,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.017839,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.088469,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.528126,
        "worst_return": -0.212028,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.058641,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016246,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.649513,
        "worst_return": -0.302685,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.211224,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.290433,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.840355,
        "worst_return": -0.433016,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-22",
        "end": "2024-02-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.045898,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-02-09",
        "end": "2024-02-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.023014,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-02-23",
        "end": "2024-04-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.055576,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-04-12",
        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.063792,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.075637,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-06-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.167266,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.596897,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.378233,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.294501,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.252614,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.143828,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": -0.044805,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.356152,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": 0.002077,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 19.14,
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        "typical_volume": 23089514.3,
        "trend": 15.98618,
        "fair_value": 16.495776,
        "relative_strength": 6.99842,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 41.252587,
        "energy": 32.404401,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 19.3,
        "volume": 16512727,
        "typical_volume": 22130145.3,
        "trend": 15.957184,
        "fair_value": 16.473683,
        "relative_strength": 3.57943,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.302605,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}