{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2d03b0b8-8e0e-4d6c-aa73-aa4daf9f50be",
    "symbol": "EFR",
    "name": "Energy Fuels Inc.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -65.406,
    "architecture_energy": 74.039,
    "architecture_maturity": 28.434,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.41,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.14,
        "rotation_up": 14.25,
        "upward_expansion": 17.02,
        "deceleration": 38.45,
        "rotation_down": 70.91,
        "downward_expansion": 92.69
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        17.465334,
        18.392,
        20.951,
        22.514581
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 19.690001,
    "trend_reference": 24.780667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.205429,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 13.474359,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.461294,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -25.127215,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.321034,
    "excess_performance": -0.441456,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.205429,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.027103,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.461294,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.891442,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.251272,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.551068,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.321034,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.737216,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4566000,
      "relative_activity": 1.459849,
      "balance": 0.737216,
      "dry_up": 1.142997,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.153026,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.63131,
      "from_high_reference": -0.486839,
      "from_low_reference": 0.740937
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 24.780667,
      "fair_value_reference": 13.474359,
      "structural_low": 15.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": 0.009079,
        "positive_rate": 0.526316,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.421053,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005255,
        "regime_survival": 0.684211,
        "best_return": 0.324742,
        "worst_return": -0.191746,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.158126,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.142857,
        "median_excess_return": 0.1349,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.742284,
        "worst_return": -0.002181,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.278303,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.275919,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 2.315113,
        "worst_return": -0.261556,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.214105,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.233729,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 2.712219,
        "worst_return": -0.331454,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.190421,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.206969,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.177536,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.101824,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.186495,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.138393,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.215054,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.405616,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-01-16",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": -0.164851,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.020463,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
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        "return": -0.027553,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "return": -0.009059,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "relative_strength": 34.006018,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -21.549916,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 3529460.0,
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        "fair_value": 13.251154,
        "relative_strength": -24.625386,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -69.156734,
        "energy": 65.205764,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 16.120001,
        "volume": 2719700,
        "typical_volume": 3421440.0,
        "trend": 25.352667,
        "fair_value": 13.30391,
        "relative_strength": -36.720671,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -81.718725,
        "energy": 80.860178,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.766,
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          22.747048,
          24.051613
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 15.94,
        "volume": 2800900,
        "typical_volume": 3260270.0,
        "trend": 25.195334,
        "fair_value": 13.355321,
        "relative_strength": -37.53422,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -77.103228,
        "energy": 83.8609,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.472,
          19.256182,
          21.978715,
          23.444344
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 16.059999,
        "volume": 4213300,
        "typical_volume": 3281345.0,
        "trend": 24.966,
        "fair_value": 13.406218,
        "relative_strength": -36.813398,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.675219,
        "energy": 83.02381,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.716667,
          18.413273,
          21.269238,
          22.854968
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 19.690001,
        "volume": 4566000,
        "typical_volume": 3127720.0,
        "trend": 24.780667,
        "fair_value": 13.474359,
        "relative_strength": -25.127215,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.406031,
        "energy": 74.03869,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.465334,
          18.392,
          20.951,
          22.514581
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}