{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2d142c90-18a1-44d2-a977-f506767af197",
    "symbol": "IVV",
    "name": "ISHARES CORE S&P 500 ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 92.177,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 79.651,
    "architecture_energy": 54.759,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.778,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.115,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.58,
        "rotation_up": 56.37,
        "upward_expansion": 80.9,
        "deceleration": 59.26,
        "rotation_down": 24.82,
        "downward_expansion": 7.57
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 776.73,
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    "distance_from_trend": 0.089276,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 582.560539,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.333303,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.013072,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.125496,
    "excess_performance": -0.000129,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.089276,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033945,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.333303,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002767,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000131,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000107,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.125496,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.163388,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 0.548593,
      "balance": 2.163388,
      "dry_up": 0.601742,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.02575,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.144165,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005009,
      "from_low_reference": 0.235743
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 582.560539,
      "structural_low": 630.476468,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
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        "positive_rate": 0.641026,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.641026,
        "median_excess_return": 5.9e-05,
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        "worst_return": -0.069687,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.159987,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
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        "trend": 713.070287,
        "fair_value": 582.560539,
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    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}