{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2d3c1dee-31cd-4715-a0c5-d113710a471e", "symbol": "MANINFRA", "name": "Man Infraconstruction Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 61.788, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 2.183, "architecture_energy": 16.916, "architecture_maturity": 23.783, "architecture_confidence": 51.672, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.84, "rotation_up": 23.08, "upward_expansion": 18.7, "deceleration": 55.25, "rotation_down": 50.03, "downward_expansion": 46.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 103.921333, 104.122909, 107.429534, 106.416119 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 113.849998, "trend_reference": 106.175408, "distance_from_trend": 0.072282, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 163.613416, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.304152, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.959592, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.007169, "excess_performance": 0.03654, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.072282, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066985, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.304152, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.121663, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.049596, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064747, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.007169, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.83478, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18514117, "relative_activity": 2.553849, "balance": 0.83478, "dry_up": 0.955498, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068235, "annualized_volatility": 0.476794, "from_high_reference": -0.322359, "from_low_reference": 0.485256 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 106.175408, "fair_value_reference": 163.613416, "structural_low": 76.65347, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.016952, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.037987, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.159147, "worst_return": -0.130409, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.009906, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.054822, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.094308, "worst_return": -0.190441, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.145599, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.167858, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.963871, 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"2026-07-17", "close": 101.279999, "volume": 3533659, "typical_volume": 6392506.05, "trend": 108.44333, "fair_value": 164.184572, "relative_strength": -17.230586, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.781922, "energy": 35.262746, "activity_lines": [ 103.651999, 106.699976, 108.124111, 107.292541 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 96.68, "volume": 3817572, "typical_volume": 6527258.5, "trend": 107.387371, "fair_value": 164.04177, "relative_strength": -18.191629, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.101942, "energy": 56.20958, "activity_lines": [ 101.17, 104.348, 107.302436, 106.533616 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 98.080002, "volume": 1842169, "typical_volume": 6502727.4, "trend": 106.363831, "fair_value": 163.761563, "relative_strength": -18.181619, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.905884, "energy": 54.178621, "activity_lines": [ 99.707334, 102.617636, 106.624468, 105.933141 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 113.849998, "volume": 18514117, "typical_volume": 7249494.45, "trend": 106.175408, "fair_value": 163.613416, "relative_strength": -4.959592, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 2.18309, "energy": 16.915882, "activity_lines": [ 103.921333, 104.122909, 107.429534, 106.416119 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }