{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2d501459-80b3-496b-9f3b-b100c22ec8ad", "symbol": "300322", "name": "Huizhou Speed Wireless Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.673, "architecture_energy": 81.469, "architecture_maturity": 28.0, "architecture_confidence": 81.381, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.19, "rotation_up": 8.52, "upward_expansion": 19.51, "deceleration": 37.08, "rotation_down": 78.71, "downward_expansion": 95.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.756, 20.465273, 24.556905, 25.660602 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 18.98, "trend_reference": 26.862667, "distance_from_trend": -0.293443, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.340705, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.161517, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.108264, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.287002, "excess_performance": -0.294402, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.293443, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000335, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.161517, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.984657, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.281083, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.4285, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.287002, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.117892, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 155686985, "relative_activity": 1.115273, "balance": 1.117892, "dry_up": 0.869922, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.232958, "annualized_volatility": 0.727373, "from_high_reference": -0.485358, "from_low_reference": 0.247863 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.862667, "fair_value_reference": 16.340705, "structural_low": 15.21, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.064516, "positive_rate": 0.769231, "directional_follow_through": 0.230769, "median_excess_return": 0.092522, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.814554, "worst_return": -0.189739, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.131391, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": 0.178365, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.679144, "worst_return": -0.169201, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.240642, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.350409, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.850782, "worst_return": -0.100291, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-10", "close": 22.219999, "volume": 136081202, "typical_volume": 144702679.5, "trend": 27.835667, "fair_value": 16.110577, "relative_strength": -20.817324, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.777627, "energy": 45.127949, "activity_lines": [ 24.731333, 27.423454, 28.449143, 28.290151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 17.690001, "volume": 113769071, "typical_volume": 143862204.45, "trend": 27.679667, "fair_value": 16.169744, "relative_strength": -30.692508, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.450257, "energy": 81.488954, "activity_lines": [ 21.961333, 25.340182, 27.429857, 27.635592 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 16.879999, "volume": 120071733, "typical_volume": 142567771.9, "trend": 27.453, "fair_value": 16.224167, "relative_strength": -34.030732, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.632864, "energy": 85.834004, "activity_lines": [ 19.622666, 23.369818, 26.384238, 26.938839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.8, "volume": 96220553, "typical_volume": 137311849.5, "trend": 27.139667, "fair_value": 16.268077, "relative_strength": -37.200979, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.668424, "energy": 88.408621, "activity_lines": [ 17.847333, 21.492909, 25.290048, 26.187032 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.98, "volume": 155686985, "typical_volume": 139595361.85, "trend": 26.862667, "fair_value": 16.340705, "relative_strength": -28.108264, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.672649, "energy": 81.468668, "activity_lines": [ 17.756, 20.465273, 24.556905, 25.660602 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }