{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2d58c9e9-046e-4f37-94d2-3b92bf794ba3", "symbol": "WCAT", "name": "Wildcat Gold Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 62.234, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -2.315, "architecture_energy": 12.974, "architecture_maturity": 48.04, "architecture_confidence": 69.207, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 64.57, "rotation_up": 14.67, "upward_expansion": 45.79, "deceleration": 84.99, "rotation_down": 34.56, "downward_expansion": 26.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.000817, 0.000849, 0.000879, 0.00082 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.00075, "trend_reference": 0.000758, "distance_from_trend": -0.010119, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.001402, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.465216, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.581264, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.153846, "excess_performance": 0.102611, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.010119, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.092788, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.465216, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041646, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.085813, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.325106, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.153846, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.503218, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8544089, "relative_activity": 0.35411, "balance": 2.503218, "dry_up": 0.157647, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.162051, "annualized_volatility": 1.105741, "from_high_reference": -0.603175, "from_low_reference": 2.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.000758, "fair_value_reference": 0.001402, "structural_low": 0.00025, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.017708, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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0.001455, "relative_strength": 8.137037, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.481171, "energy": 23.857089, "activity_lines": [ 0.000879, 0.000941, 0.000865, 0.000799 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.00085, "volume": 1185305, "typical_volume": 26128571.1, "trend": 0.000741, "fair_value": 0.001441, "relative_strength": 6.868462, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.37853, "energy": 24.390095, "activity_lines": [ 0.000861, 0.000917, 0.000873, 0.000807 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.00085, "volume": 2618648, "typical_volume": 25605810.0, "trend": 0.000748, "fair_value": 0.001427, "relative_strength": 5.303442, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.355406, "energy": 21.008345, "activity_lines": [ 0.000852, 0.000896, 0.00088, 0.000814 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.00085, "volume": 2866974, "typical_volume": 25662508.65, "trend": 0.000758, "fair_value": 0.001416, "relative_strength": 3.851856, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.355643, "energy": 14.880184, "activity_lines": [ 0.00085, 0.000879, 0.000885, 0.00082 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.00075, "volume": 8544089, "typical_volume": 24128347.4, "trend": 0.000758, "fair_value": 0.001402, "relative_strength": -8.581264, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -2.314751, "energy": 12.974419, "activity_lines": [ 0.000817, 0.000849, 0.000879, 0.00082 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }