{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2d5ceea4-8740-45de-b8ac-cace43a5cb23", "symbol": "SBIT", "name": "PROSHARES ULTRASHORT BITCOIN ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 31.298, "architecture_energy": 17.482, "architecture_maturity": 37.327, "architecture_confidence": 93.644, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.26, "rotation_up": 22.08, "upward_expansion": 51.59, "deceleration": 92.55, "rotation_down": 27.2, "downward_expansion": 17.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 56.491643, 58.441206, 55.400782, 54.439169 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 54.8, "trend_reference": 52.902682, "distance_from_trend": 0.035864, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 80.746169, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.32133, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.324317, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.052926, "excess_performance": -0.17855, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.035864, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.140221, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.32133, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.207648, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.093243, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.190854, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.052926, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.599704, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2023916, "relative_activity": 0.461181, "balance": 1.599704, "dry_up": 0.572687, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.153659, "annualized_volatility": 0.743839, "from_high_reference": -0.26514, "from_low_reference": 1.402195 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 52.902682, "fair_value_reference": 80.746169, "structural_low": 37.424405, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.298546, "energy": 21.97596, "activity_lines": [ 58.093289, 59.140123, 54.697174, 53.853656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 58.46919, "volume": 2767821, "typical_volume": 4654462.7, "trend": 52.399359, "fair_value": 80.958842, "relative_strength": 21.691568, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.213467, "energy": 18.903096, "activity_lines": [ 57.618909, 59.257749, 55.238438, 54.284288 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 54.8, "volume": 2023916, "typical_volume": 4388554.9, "trend": 52.902682, "fair_value": 80.746169, "relative_strength": 9.324317, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.298372, "energy": 17.48205, "activity_lines": [ 56.491643, 58.441206, 55.400782, 54.439169 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }