{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2d72291d-f8db-472a-83f2-4ae7e9075301", "symbol": "001256", "name": "Zhejiang Weigang Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 42.694, "architecture_energy": 24.204, "architecture_maturity": 47.499, "architecture_confidence": 90.03, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.33, "rotation_up": 32.67, "upward_expansion": 52.58, "deceleration": 85.33, "rotation_down": 39.55, "downward_expansion": 27.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.681333, 25.154518, 24.899775, 24.506547 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 27.889999, "trend_reference": 23.863305, "distance_from_trend": 0.16874, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19.358423, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.440716, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 15.83562, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.289413, "excess_performance": 0.282013, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.16874, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046281, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.440716, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.099717, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.158356, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.25373, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.289413, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.615072, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 24656490, "relative_activity": 1.334164, "balance": 0.615072, "dry_up": 1.102685, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.117427, "annualized_volatility": 0.664396, "from_high_reference": -0.094481, "from_low_reference": 0.393803 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.863305, "fair_value_reference": 19.358423, "structural_low": 20.280001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.042553, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.000808, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.049911, "worst_return": -0.119694, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.033078, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.025648, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.071809, "worst_return": -0.047237, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.073975, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.084869, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.073975, "worst_return": -0.073975, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.208982, "energy": 69.428303, "activity_lines": [ 27.086113, 25.902513, 25.065331, 24.414884 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 23.15, "volume": 30306195, "typical_volume": 17490995.45, "trend": 23.586972, "fair_value": 19.242865, "relative_strength": -0.587216, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.929625, "energy": 44.683812, "activity_lines": [ 26.078031, 25.498757, 24.947192, 24.390606 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.52, "volume": 15821403, "typical_volume": 17892655.3, "trend": 23.647639, "fair_value": 19.272656, "relative_strength": -3.317664, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.810346, "energy": 15.093414, "activity_lines": [ 24.867333, 25.016784, 24.76691, 24.321769 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.299999, "volume": 10730190, "typical_volume": 18082439.1, "trend": 23.678305, "fair_value": 19.295149, "relative_strength": -2.460991, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.218583, "energy": 11.764155, "activity_lines": [ 23.745333, 24.550679, 24.566342, 24.234825 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.889999, "volume": 24656490, "typical_volume": 18480853.85, "trend": 23.863305, "fair_value": 19.358423, "relative_strength": 15.83562, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.694312, "energy": 24.204418, "activity_lines": [ 24.681333, 25.154518, 24.899775, 24.506547 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }