{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2d78c3c2-b063-4503-af70-076620ee2ec5", "symbol": "603013", "name": "YAPP Automotive Systems Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.482, "architecture_energy": 51.071, "architecture_maturity": 76.835, "architecture_confidence": 89.711, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.81, "rotation_up": 24.25, "upward_expansion": 8.0, "deceleration": 59.42, "rotation_down": 51.52, "downward_expansion": 79.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.484, 16.610545, 17.598624, 18.546932 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 16.75, "trend_reference": 20.171373, "distance_from_trend": -0.169615, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.037897, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.016897, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.324475, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.314154, "excess_performance": -0.27095, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.169615, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082726, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.016897, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.270963, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.213245, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.107027, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.314154, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.485803, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15675736, "relative_activity": 1.026502, "balance": 0.485803, "dry_up": 1.044564, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083972, "annualized_volatility": 0.421339, "from_high_reference": -0.436597, "from_low_reference": 0.096204 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.171373, "fair_value_reference": 17.037897, "structural_low": 15.28, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.016485, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.021263, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.164885, "worst_return": -0.149182, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.019863, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.028994, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.225644, "worst_return": -0.19687, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.117276, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.089221, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.128399, "worst_return": 0.106154, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"close": 15.52, "volume": 16617981, "typical_volume": 15071874.2, "trend": 20.625549, "fair_value": 17.005033, "relative_strength": -25.429112, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.868438, "energy": 64.242656, "activity_lines": [ 16.084, 16.714909, 17.896601, 19.002249 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.24, "volume": 16594149, "typical_volume": 15119952.15, "trend": 20.421874, "fair_value": 17.021928, "relative_strength": -17.120564, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.514009, "energy": 56.730959, "activity_lines": [ 16.411333, 16.675091, 17.758576, 18.783827 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.75, "volume": 15675736, "typical_volume": 15271021.5, "trend": 20.171373, "fair_value": 17.037897, "relative_strength": -21.324475, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.482025, "energy": 51.071164, "activity_lines": [ 16.484, 16.610545, 17.598624, 18.546932 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }