{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2d875939-4913-439b-91fd-b4d2942f716d", "symbol": "7507", "name": "Enrestec Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.937, "architecture_energy": 47.243, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.43, "rotation_up": 28.14, "upward_expansion": 7.25, "deceleration": 57.93, "rotation_down": 50.85, "downward_expansion": 82.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.19, 20.368182, 21.308572, 22.842473 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 20.1, "trend_reference": 25.361667, "distance_from_trend": -0.207465, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 45.782372, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.560966, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -56.982339, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.363924, "excess_performance": -0.805296, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.207465, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.192861, "read": "Falling" 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18.799999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.025245, "positive_rate": 0.269231, "directional_follow_through": 0.653846, "median_excess_return": -0.05991, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.434263, "worst_return": -0.272857, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.035573, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.196448, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 1.785507, "worst_return": -0.342896, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.014543, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.104073, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.898551, "worst_return": -0.505, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.639409, "energy": 65.068655, "activity_lines": [ 20.446667, 20.968182, 22.623333, 24.524839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.1, "volume": 61077, "typical_volume": 385592.0, "trend": 27.01, "fair_value": 46.370192, "relative_strength": -58.097791, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.232836, "energy": 55.878457, "activity_lines": [ 20.206667, 20.703636, 22.238571, 24.041613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.450001, "volume": 96920, "typical_volume": 380950.8, "trend": 26.435, "fair_value": 46.188141, "relative_strength": -55.713917, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.223388, "energy": 50.193592, "activity_lines": [ 20.276667, 20.581818, 21.912619, 23.618387 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.200001, "volume": 119266, "typical_volume": 353924.5, "trend": 25.891667, "fair_value": 45.983654, "relative_strength": -56.229283, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.510085, "energy": 49.369172, "activity_lines": [ 20.263334, 20.477273, 21.578333, 23.216129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 20.1, "volume": 109729, "typical_volume": 329869.3, "trend": 25.361667, "fair_value": 45.782372, "relative_strength": -56.982339, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.937022, "energy": 47.242994, "activity_lines": [ 20.19, 20.368182, 21.308572, 22.842473 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }