{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2d9ea099-c910-45f0-91b5-6e2e7af6ed46", "symbol": "SLCE3", "name": "SLC Agr\u00edcola S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.458, "architecture_energy": 60.304, "architecture_maturity": 52.922, "architecture_confidence": 95.984, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.55, "rotation_up": 28.25, "upward_expansion": 11.33, "deceleration": 58.53, "rotation_down": 50.14, "downward_expansion": 82.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.441333, 13.480182, 14.457095, 15.196107 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 13.22, "trend_reference": 15.814333, "distance_from_trend": -0.164049, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.008597, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.119171, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.293806, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.145443, "excess_performance": -0.088394, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.164049, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012072, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.119171, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.266813, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.152938, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.110438, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.145443, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.360661, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9318300, "relative_activity": 0.809139, "balance": 0.360661, "dry_up": 0.932688, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063889, "annualized_volatility": 0.277652, "from_high_reference": -0.321355, "from_low_reference": 0.049206 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.814333, "fair_value_reference": 15.008597, "structural_low": 12.6, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.019846, "positive_rate": 0.611111, "directional_follow_through": 0.388889, "median_excess_return": 0.030557, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.19348, "worst_return": -0.083468, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.028298, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.016056, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.25347, "worst_return": -0.074457, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.095412, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.048138, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.206751, "worst_return": 0.05441, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"energy": 84.121405, "activity_lines": [ 13.473333, 13.892182, 15.189524, 15.677195 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.64, "volume": 11020100, "typical_volume": 12509190.0, "trend": 15.906667, "fair_value": 15.057916, "relative_strength": -14.659595, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.647663, "energy": 64.621964, "activity_lines": [ 13.544667, 13.736727, 14.950905, 15.529419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.38, "volume": 10508300, "typical_volume": 11873680.0, "trend": 15.859667, "fair_value": 15.031201, "relative_strength": -17.451003, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.035061, "energy": 59.538466, "activity_lines": [ 13.526667, 13.598545, 14.700619, 15.366409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.22, "volume": 9318300, "typical_volume": 11516310.0, "trend": 15.814333, "fair_value": 15.008597, "relative_strength": -15.293806, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.457891, "energy": 60.303971, "activity_lines": [ 13.441333, 13.480182, 14.457095, 15.196107 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }