{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2dab7a44-08f7-49a5-ab10-5c9d3316aa7b", "symbol": "NICE", "name": "NICE Ltd.", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.053, "architecture_energy": 75.105, "architecture_maturity": 79.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.7, "rotation_up": 27.99, "upward_expansion": 28.38, "deceleration": 46.59, "rotation_down": 47.18, "downward_expansion": 73.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 290.206667, 284.169091, 7528.815714, 14099.942581 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 293.0, "trend_reference": 21818.74, "distance_from_trend": -0.986571, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 54852.129487, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.994658, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -99.165368, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.991357, "excess_performance": -1.020257, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.986571, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.356158, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.994658, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.448139, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.991654, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.459398, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.991357, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.314115, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1687765, "relative_activity": 1.564844, "balance": 0.314115, "dry_up": 0.946434, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 8.789919, "annualized_volatility": 6.300299, "from_high_reference": -0.994287, "from_low_reference": 0.197874 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21818.74, "fair_value_reference": 54852.129487, "structural_low": 244.6, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.010873, "positive_rate": 0.4375, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": -0.025332, "regime_survival": 0.84375, "best_return": 0.184701, "worst_return": -0.989952, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.038682, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": -0.177729, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.126325, "worst_return": -0.990313, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.100534, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.21648, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.381384, "worst_return": -0.991015, 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3040.743636, 12775.275714, 18734.913763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 266.0, "volume": 704488, "typical_volume": 1023977.1, "trend": 24241.723333, "fair_value": 55869.369872, "relative_strength": -99.31298, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.894159, "energy": 67.572771, "activity_lines": [ 284.373333, 1657.003636, 10839.248571, 17112.32086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 297.5, "volume": 1070866, "typical_volume": 1028605.0, "trend": 23040.64, "fair_value": 55374.482051, "relative_strength": -99.182004, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.225442, "energy": 66.564301, "activity_lines": [ 289.213333, 730.7, 9096.240476, 15567.532258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 293.0, "volume": 1687765, "typical_volume": 1078551.5, "trend": 21818.74, "fair_value": 54852.129487, "relative_strength": -99.165368, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.052968, "energy": 75.104809, "activity_lines": [ 290.206667, 284.169091, 7528.815714, 14099.942581 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }