{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2db5db06-dcf2-43bd-8a65-2b519d7c5876", "symbol": "SHALPAINTS", "name": "Shalimar Paints Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 82.756, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 90.245, "architecture_energy": 93.685, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 79.644, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.66, "rotation_up": 80.33, "upward_expansion": 92.21, "deceleration": 47.5, "rotation_down": 13.39, "downward_expansion": 25.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 69.644001, 62.345819, 57.293762, 55.363677 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 84.470001, "trend_reference": 54.914666, "distance_from_trend": 0.538205, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 115.162628, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.266516, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 37.34032, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.349361, "excess_performance": 0.39307, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.538205, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.046013, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.266516, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.286023, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.373403, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.575458, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.349361, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 7.637959, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18003828, "relative_activity": 12.080913, "balance": 7.637959, "dry_up": 4.381822, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082168, "annualized_volatility": 0.748548, "from_high_reference": -0.059354, "from_low_reference": 1.399034 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 54.914666, "fair_value_reference": 115.162628, "structural_low": 35.209999, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.054303, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.037091, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.20777, "worst_return": -0.225415, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.00877, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.016092, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.274275, "worst_return": -0.256734, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.10923, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.09432, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.219512, "worst_return": -0.437971, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"energy": 23.983977, "activity_lines": [ 50.832001, 51.244182, 50.868905, 51.70615 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 68.900002, "volume": 5610515, "typical_volume": 542993.35, "trend": 54.675333, "fair_value": 116.190833, "relative_strength": 15.724816, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 53.149426, "energy": 53.538503, "activity_lines": [ 56.596001, 54.463819, 52.665572, 52.648258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 66.68, "volume": 2163479, "typical_volume": 625771.2, "trend": 54.385666, "fair_value": 115.624679, "relative_strength": 9.544782, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 51.116547, "energy": 67.920954, "activity_lines": [ 60.640668, 56.938364, 54.173429, 53.422753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 84.470001, "volume": 18003828, "typical_volume": 1490270.45, "trend": 54.914666, "fair_value": 115.162628, "relative_strength": 37.34032, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.24469, "energy": 93.684842, "activity_lines": [ 69.644001, 62.345819, 57.293762, 55.363677 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }