{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2dc126f5-fdf9-454c-ab43-74f2847173c7", "symbol": "INTELLECT", "name": "Intellect Design Arena Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -4.081, "architecture_energy": 8.568, "architecture_maturity": 22.362, "architecture_confidence": 44.413, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 63.03, "rotation_up": 20.8, "upward_expansion": 20.3, "deceleration": 64.43, "rotation_down": 41.94, "downward_expansion": 31.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 729.090605, 738.697006, 734.023031, 725.427716 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 721.349976, "trend_reference": 732.956671, "distance_from_trend": -0.015835, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 872.712455, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.173439, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.476542, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.051355, "excess_performance": -0.007645, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.015835, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.120521, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.173439, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.108552, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.144765, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030893, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.051355, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.874341, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3097255, "relative_activity": 1.331521, "balance": 0.874341, "dry_up": 1.336632, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06858, "annualized_volatility": 0.365339, "from_high_reference": -0.420416, "from_low_reference": 0.211945 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 732.956671, "fair_value_reference": 872.712455, "structural_low": 595.200012, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.004274, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.008442, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.271586, "worst_return": -0.227024, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.024284, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.009327, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.302077, "worst_return": -0.358495, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.00262, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.041673, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.608621, 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"balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 6.003651, "energy": 16.143088, "activity_lines": [ 755.179008, 746.837017, 731.431368, 730.003524 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 732.200012, "volume": 1844779, "typical_volume": 2218051.2, "trend": 747.636672, "fair_value": 872.283092, "relative_strength": -11.228642, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 20.612538, "energy": 15.323887, "activity_lines": [ 748.362333, 746.261562, 733.313749, 728.450191 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 719.0, "volume": 4903872, "typical_volume": 2387861.65, "trend": 739.561672, "fair_value": 872.497069, "relative_strength": -14.535215, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 0.375614, "energy": 4.493877, "activity_lines": [ 737.637386, 742.457013, 733.695177, 726.602664 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 721.349976, "volume": 3097255, "typical_volume": 2326103.7, "trend": 732.956671, "fair_value": 872.712455, "relative_strength": -14.476542, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -4.081096, "energy": 8.568051, "activity_lines": [ 729.090605, 738.697006, 734.023031, 725.427716 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }