{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2dc8abf6-de35-481c-8c6e-015291eb5b0b",
    "symbol": "AMH",
    "name": "American Homes 4 Rent",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 70.718,
    "architecture_energy": 50.835,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.064,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.155,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.46,
        "rotation_up": 52.81,
        "upward_expansion": 78.09,
        "deceleration": 65.13,
        "rotation_down": 23.58,
        "downward_expansion": 7.09
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        33.89,
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        32.00317
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 34.63,
    "trend_reference": 31.180275,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.110638,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 33.106435,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.04602,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.809163,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.147446,
    "excess_performance": 0.021821,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.110638,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029334,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04602,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086319,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018092,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.102616,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.147446,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.20933,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 13270457,
      "relative_activity": 1.011185,
      "balance": 1.20933,
      "dry_up": 0.835495,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.041921,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.246313,
      "from_high_reference": -0.012546,
      "from_low_reference": 0.285333
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 33.106435,
      "structural_low": 26.942437,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": -0.005133,
        "positive_rate": 0.47619,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.47619,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010881,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.086594,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.094587,
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.178873,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 33.095519,
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        "energy": 68.583287,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 13846353.6,
        "trend": 30.965048,
        "fair_value": 33.094107,
        "relative_strength": -1.728804,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 60.134969,
        "energy": 51.585604,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 33.42,
        "volume": 10377272,
        "typical_volume": 13339505.0,
        "trend": 31.037816,
        "fair_value": 33.096044,
        "relative_strength": -2.229663,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.92676,
        "energy": 44.448787,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.560667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 34.63,
        "volume": 13270457,
        "typical_volume": 13123665.65,
        "trend": 31.180275,
        "fair_value": 33.106435,
        "relative_strength": -1.809163,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.717587,
        "energy": 50.835361,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}