{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2dd8e575-a08f-481b-9fdd-3dce27fcdc71", "symbol": "PAG", "name": "Penske Automotive Group Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 74.811, "architecture_energy": 90.018, "architecture_maturity": 40.0, "architecture_confidence": 82.278, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 84.76, "upward_expansion": 99.9, "deceleration": 39.03, "rotation_down": 8.43, "downward_expansion": 21.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 213.528667, 202.316545, 188.025702, 179.181813 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 216.41, "trend_reference": 170.077307, "distance_from_trend": 0.272421, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 155.656714, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.390303, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 14.780465, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.320917, "excess_performance": 0.195292, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.272421, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070926, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.390303, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.258945, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.147805, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.209072, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.320917, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.656605, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1885666, "relative_activity": 1.157571, "balance": 1.656605, "dry_up": 1.713486, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060258, "annualized_volatility": 0.291146, "from_high_reference": -0.046652, "from_low_reference": 0.557627 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 170.077307, "fair_value_reference": 155.656714, "structural_low": 138.935723, 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166.812084 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 202.66, "volume": 1700630, "typical_volume": 1438751.55, "trend": 164.401813, "fair_value": 154.450839, "relative_strength": 12.381355, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.072584, "energy": 84.377405, "activity_lines": [ 191.217333, 183.918813, 174.476635, 169.364762 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 217.35, "volume": 4490835, "typical_volume": 1585972.2, "trend": 166.221094, "fair_value": 154.891294, "relative_strength": 20.994506, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.061587, "energy": 90.778809, "activity_lines": [ 201.416667, 191.123231, 179.336389, 172.780774 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 217.31, "volume": 3087844, "typical_volume": 1664125.2, "trend": 168.282806, "fair_value": 155.297587, "relative_strength": 19.413102, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.809382, "energy": 92.989296, "activity_lines": [ 208.792667, 197.292364, 183.896791, 176.076832 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 216.41, "volume": 1885666, "typical_volume": 1628985.05, "trend": 170.077307, "fair_value": 155.656714, "relative_strength": 14.780465, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.810594, "energy": 90.017991, "activity_lines": [ 213.528667, 202.316545, 188.025702, 179.181813 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }