{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2de104d5-2be1-4d5a-ab17-43d268cb119a", "symbol": "SRAC", "name": "S.R. Accord Ltd.", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.792, "architecture_energy": 62.681, "architecture_maturity": 97.0, "architecture_confidence": 59.934, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.18, "rotation_up": 27.99, "upward_expansion": 22.5, "deceleration": 66.97, "rotation_down": 46.67, "downward_expansion": 67.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 57.678667, 57.127818, 1308.641354, 2408.895082 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 56.92, "trend_reference": 3635.237518, "distance_from_trend": -0.984342, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3743.142518, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.984794, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -98.833807, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.988601, "excess_performance": -1.017501, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.984342, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.336769, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.984794, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.499573, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.988338, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.850939, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.988601, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.946748, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12578, "relative_activity": 1.517671, "balance": 0.946748, "dry_up": 0.691748, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 8.650809, "annualized_volatility": 6.370464, "from_high_reference": -0.990667, "from_low_reference": 0.06194 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3635.237518, "fair_value_reference": 3743.142518, "structural_low": 53.6, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.0125, "positive_rate": 0.44, "directional_follow_through": 0.56, "median_excess_return": -0.022399, "regime_survival": 0.84, "best_return": 0.276335, "worst_return": -0.164307, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.036068, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.006981, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.491415, "worst_return": -0.203817, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.096684, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.031822, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.756058, "worst_return": -0.221625, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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}, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 58.55, "volume": 2391, "typical_volume": 10692.9, "trend": 4012.441045, "fair_value": 3785.172085, "relative_strength": -98.886119, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.454995, "energy": 67.119045, "activity_lines": [ 57.49, 162.032728, 1892.996228, 2907.054745 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 58.19, "volume": 4361, "typical_volume": 9700.25, "trend": 3824.143733, "fair_value": 3763.607322, "relative_strength": -98.833451, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.010936, "energy": 63.233485, "activity_lines": [ 57.9, 57.138164, 1586.90097, 2651.941775 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 56.92, "volume": 12578, "typical_volume": 8287.7, "trend": 3635.237518, "fair_value": 3743.142518, "relative_strength": -98.833807, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.791955, "energy": 62.680712, "activity_lines": [ 57.678667, 57.127818, 1308.641354, 2408.895082 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }