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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 95.649, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.7, "architecture_energy": 57.893, "architecture_maturity": 15.721, "architecture_confidence": 80.219, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.19, "rotation_up": 66.04, "upward_expansion": 85.37, "deceleration": 46.92, "rotation_down": 18.86, "downward_expansion": 12.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 108.576587, 107.586587, 106.384425, 105.715439 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 112.64, "trend_reference": 105.122923, "distance_from_trend": 0.071507, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 82.304638, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.368574, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.355667, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.06164, "excess_performance": -0.063985, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.071507, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03979, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.368574, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023018, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.003557, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005719, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.06164, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.192429, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 57971, "relative_activity": 0.322704, "balance": 2.192429, "dry_up": 0.858763, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.02772, "annualized_volatility": 0.223742, "from_high_reference": -0.005123, "from_low_reference": 0.274989 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 105.122923, "fair_value_reference": 82.304638, "structural_low": 97.655, 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"2026-07-24", "close": 106.88, "volume": 246074, "typical_volume": 204199.2, "trend": 104.358423, "fair_value": 81.724728, "relative_strength": -0.313445, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.630133, "energy": 38.769779, "activity_lines": [ 106.495093, 106.177649, 105.357807, 105.034354 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 106.97, "volume": 158107, "typical_volume": 192337.45, "trend": 104.694756, "fair_value": 81.996911, "relative_strength": -1.322725, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.530026, "energy": 29.308966, "activity_lines": [ 106.61584, 106.383888, 105.617426, 105.202843 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 112.64, "volume": 57971, "typical_volume": 179641.15, "trend": 105.122923, "fair_value": 82.304638, "relative_strength": 0.355667, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.699503, "energy": 57.892634, "activity_lines": [ 108.576587, 107.586587, 106.384425, 105.715439 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }