{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2dfc351b-23f0-4c5e-9462-0c52ee49794d", "symbol": "6279", "name": "Hu Lane Associate Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 82.76, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.228, "architecture_energy": 41.129, "architecture_maturity": 23.242, "architecture_confidence": 76.756, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.78, "rotation_up": 50.36, "upward_expansion": 78.26, "deceleration": 53.15, "rotation_down": 25.36, "downward_expansion": 14.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 122.533333, 121.1, 119.661905, 117.972043 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 127.5, "trend_reference": 116.916667, "distance_from_trend": 0.09052, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 134.46439, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.051794, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -26.753714, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.143498, "excess_performance": -0.297874, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.09052, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020388, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.051794, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.094181, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.267537, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.111644, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.143498, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.211122, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7391955, "relative_activity": 1.900455, "balance": 2.211122, "dry_up": 1.096249, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065762, "annualized_volatility": 0.327652, "from_high_reference": -0.108392, "from_low_reference": 0.25 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 116.916667, "fair_value_reference": 134.46439, "structural_low": 102.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.032362, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.230769, "median_excess_return": -0.056225, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.076655, "worst_return": -0.173653, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.082677, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.122409, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.020906, "worst_return": -0.203593, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.020781, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.185268, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.146341, "worst_return": -0.154771, "sufficient": 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"activity_lines": [ 119.433333, 119.845455, 117.554762, 116.858065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 115.5, "volume": 1630780, "typical_volume": 3462030.5, "trend": 117.116667, "fair_value": 134.589369, "relative_strength": -33.028164, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -0.242041, "energy": 2.969937, "activity_lines": [ 118.033333, 119.072727, 117.545238, 116.729032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 116.0, "volume": 2935479, "typical_volume": 3467909.05, "trend": 116.816667, "fair_value": 134.507799, "relative_strength": -31.040583, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -3.551362, "energy": 6.566145, "activity_lines": [ 117.133333, 118.390909, 117.57619, 116.656989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 126.5, "volume": 5097538, "typical_volume": 3618698.55, "trend": 116.8, "fair_value": 134.474904, "relative_strength": -25.687219, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.369831, "energy": 23.411837, "activity_lines": [ 119.766667, 119.690909, 118.595238, 117.28172 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 127.5, "volume": 7391955, "typical_volume": 3889570.95, "trend": 116.916667, "fair_value": 134.46439, "relative_strength": -26.753714, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.227603, "energy": 41.128535, "activity_lines": [ 122.533333, 121.1, 119.661905, 117.972043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }