{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2dfd808e-9d63-4c38-bfd8-a33bb7c49e75",
    "symbol": "FCIQ",
    "name": "Fidelity International High Quality ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 88.714,
    "architecture_energy": 86.703,
    "architecture_maturity": 26.623,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.851,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.33,
        "rotation_up": 77.96,
        "upward_expansion": 94.87,
        "deceleration": 43.34,
        "rotation_down": 13.5,
        "downward_expansion": 19.2
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        50.265333,
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        48.426366,
        47.586589
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 51.759998,
    "trend_reference": 46.724023,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.107781,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 40.911011,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.265185,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.454754,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.139335,
    "excess_performance": 0.018914,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.107781,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026532,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.265185,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076207,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.004548,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070166,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.139335,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.618737,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 35300,
      "relative_activity": 0.580592,
      "balance": 1.618737,
      "dry_up": 0.636513,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.024803,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.158299,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003082,
      "from_low_reference": 0.205403
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 46.724023,
      "fair_value_reference": 40.911011,
      "structural_low": 42.939999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 37,
        "median_return": 0.013337,
        "positive_rate": 0.621622,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.621622,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004371,
        "regime_survival": 0.810811,
        "best_return": 0.069392,
        "worst_return": -0.115122,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
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        "positive_rate": 0.727273,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.025647,
        "regime_survival": 0.636364,
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        "worst_return": -0.03081,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
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        "worst_return": -0.021501,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.231422,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 94685.45,
        "trend": 45.482536,
        "fair_value": 39.472561,
        "relative_strength": -10.032091,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 19.802715,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 97126.7,
        "trend": 45.449468,
        "fair_value": 39.55363,
        "relative_strength": -9.684036,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 13.806201,
        "energy": 25.375224,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 47.134018,
        "volume": 99900,
        "typical_volume": 99674.6,
        "trend": 45.507054,
        "fair_value": 39.642463,
        "relative_strength": -7.471402,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 35.297788,
        "energy": 44.081571,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 93200,
        "typical_volume": 103240.0,
        "trend": 45.483939,
        "fair_value": 39.71917,
        "relative_strength": -9.612971,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.791642,
        "energy": 31.368223,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 105210.0,
        "trend": 45.498167,
        "fair_value": 39.807577,
        "relative_strength": -8.604488,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.342977,
        "energy": 29.694083,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 46.806351,
        "volume": 93400,
        "typical_volume": 102060.0,
        "trend": 45.516375,
        "fair_value": 39.896497,
        "relative_strength": -8.80283,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.460318,
        "energy": 31.032299,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 46.627625,
        "volume": 30100,
        "typical_volume": 97895.0,
        "trend": 45.544983,
        "fair_value": 39.984958,
        "relative_strength": -7.845361,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.053557,
        "energy": 28.457124,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 47.551044,
        "volume": 11800,
        "typical_volume": 93280.0,
        "trend": 45.611528,
        "fair_value": 40.075027,
        "relative_strength": -7.088849,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.617903,
        "energy": 48.850851,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 2600,
        "typical_volume": 87665.0,
        "trend": 45.744246,
        "fair_value": 40.180458,
        "relative_strength": -4.951659,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.255001,
        "energy": 65.520147,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 48.360001,
        "volume": 17800,
        "typical_volume": 82430.0,
        "trend": 45.847298,
        "fair_value": 40.279147,
        "relative_strength": -4.936582,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.066645,
        "energy": 68.566935,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.907411,
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          46.55791,
          46.212219
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 49.439999,
        "volume": 9000,
        "typical_volume": 75370.0,
        "trend": 45.987713,
        "fair_value": 40.389501,
        "relative_strength": -3.255912,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.105872,
        "energy": 80.153285,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 49.139999,
        "volume": 35800,
        "typical_volume": 71335.0,
        "trend": 46.118468,
        "fair_value": 40.487184,
        "relative_strength": -3.689758,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.514981,
        "energy": 80.020909,
        "activity_lines": [
          48.87595,
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          47.162666,
          46.64738
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 48.57,
        "volume": 22700,
        "typical_volume": 67420.0,
        "trend": 46.223068,
        "fair_value": 40.583678,
        "relative_strength": -4.406572,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.622907,
        "energy": 73.372662,
        "activity_lines": [
          48.86494,
          48.304349,
          47.373472,
          46.805543
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 48.900002,
        "volume": 43100,
        "typical_volume": 62060.0,
        "trend": 46.33969,
        "fair_value": 40.680075,
        "relative_strength": -3.745392,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.661366,
        "energy": 70.82632,
        "activity_lines": [
          48.896,
          48.518317,
          47.606326,
          46.978248
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 50.549999,
        "volume": 53700,
        "typical_volume": 61220.0,
        "trend": 46.541024,
        "fair_value": 40.791665,
        "relative_strength": 0.148981,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.643155,
        "energy": 72.905624,
        "activity_lines": [
          49.452,
          48.970748,
          47.974275,
          47.249881
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 51.759998,
        "volume": 35300,
        "typical_volume": 60800.0,
        "trend": 46.724023,
        "fair_value": 40.911011,
        "relative_strength": -0.454754,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.714483,
        "energy": 86.702642,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.265333,
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          48.426366,
          47.586589
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}