{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2dfeeb77-e527-4b27-bf57-6bf3df63bae2", "symbol": "600336", "name": "AUCMA Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.385, "architecture_energy": 51.934, "architecture_maturity": 25.862, "architecture_confidence": 84.151, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.74, "rotation_up": 15.43, "upward_expansion": 7.36, "deceleration": 50.32, "rotation_down": 64.48, "downward_expansion": 80.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.016, 6.154, 6.703238, 6.942495 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.32, "trend_reference": 7.275667, "distance_from_trend": -0.131351, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.408862, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.013865, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.347664, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.186615, "excess_performance": -0.143411, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.131351, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067065, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.013865, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.311202, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.133477, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.147145, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.186615, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.512477, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29470711, "relative_activity": 0.667171, "balance": 0.512477, "dry_up": 0.866017, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.10869, "annualized_volatility": 0.460218, "from_high_reference": -0.343718, "from_low_reference": 0.174721 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.275667, "fair_value_reference": 6.408862, "structural_low": 5.38, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.008803, "positive_rate": 0.47619, "directional_follow_through": 0.52381, "median_excess_return": -0.022264, "regime_survival": 0.619048, "best_return": 0.168504, "worst_return": -0.083164, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.048182, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": 0.038024, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.624194, "worst_return": -0.227384, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.0919, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.100662, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.396522, "worst_return": -0.023728, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"trend": 7.433333, "fair_value": 6.40156, "relative_strength": -22.124588, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.629446, "energy": 81.310576, "activity_lines": [ 5.856, 6.318182, 6.862476, 7.091677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.14, "volume": 41493388, "typical_volume": 48209633.0, "trend": 7.339, "fair_value": 6.404602, "relative_strength": -13.755169, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.2252, "energy": 68.222099, "activity_lines": [ 5.909333, 6.196909, 6.769429, 7.008237 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.32, "volume": 29470711, "typical_volume": 44172630.1, "trend": 7.275667, "fair_value": 6.408862, "relative_strength": -13.347664, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.385052, "energy": 51.933816, "activity_lines": [ 6.016, 6.154, 6.703238, 6.942495 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }