{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2e079e44-b9e3-4f76-965b-423868f68bba", "symbol": "300436", "name": "Fujian Cosunter Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.985, "architecture_energy": 37.422, "architecture_maturity": 12.332, "architecture_confidence": 92.23, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.69, "rotation_up": 20.73, "upward_expansion": 7.69, "deceleration": 43.66, "rotation_down": 50.22, "downward_expansion": 76.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 91.713332, 92.602363, 98.943953, 102.603549 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 96.879997, "trend_reference": 105.207334, "distance_from_trend": -0.079152, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 54.038334, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.792801, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.941895, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.027797, "excess_performance": -0.035197, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.079152, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017495, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.792801, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.610505, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.129419, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.15403, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.027797, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.991433, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26995577, "relative_activity": 0.755828, "balance": 0.991433, "dry_up": 1.012412, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.164692, "annualized_volatility": 0.761883, "from_high_reference": -0.487217, "from_low_reference": 0.226329 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 105.207334, "fair_value_reference": 54.038334, "structural_low": 83.400002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.015649, "positive_rate": 0.478261, "directional_follow_through": 0.521739, "median_excess_return": -0.008478, "regime_survival": 0.73913, "best_return": 0.339564, "worst_return": -0.141353, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.02173, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": 0.102366, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.652198, "worst_return": -0.160875, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.0241, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.041787, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.884808, "worst_return": -0.145431, "sufficient": true 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36548683.0, "trend": 105.017001, "fair_value": 53.181539, "relative_strength": -19.940625, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.141703, "energy": 33.275756, "activity_lines": [ 92.549334, 93.581455, 101.324763, 104.178173 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 88.68, "volume": 26314832, "typical_volume": 36221382.7, "trend": 104.949668, "fair_value": 53.584487, "relative_strength": -16.53808, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.683027, "energy": 37.349608, "activity_lines": [ 90.760667, 92.008728, 99.690334, 103.124173 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 96.879997, "volume": 26995577, "typical_volume": 35716575.2, "trend": 105.207334, "fair_value": 54.038334, "relative_strength": -12.941895, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.984921, "energy": 37.421545, "activity_lines": [ 91.713332, 92.602363, 98.943953, 102.603549 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }