{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2e16aa63-6c33-4e7c-93b8-995cc714eb8a", "symbol": "SOXL", "name": "Leverage Shares 4x Long Semiconductors ETP Securities", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -21.006, "architecture_energy": 34.838, "architecture_maturity": 50.522, "architecture_confidence": 47.23, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.83, "rotation_up": 14.08, "upward_expansion": 17.17, "deceleration": 69.32, "rotation_down": 64.06, "downward_expansion": 42.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.132001, 38.192273, 43.646322, 38.497484 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 28.440001, "trend_reference": 31.193917, "distance_from_trend": -0.088284, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.841986, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.916186, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 26.192944, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.139955, "excess_performance": 1.08872, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.088284, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.688668, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.916186, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -2.423137, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.261929, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -3.210014, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.139955, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.862117, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 761689, "relative_activity": 2.683445, "balance": 0.862117, "dry_up": 1.956364, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.575909, "annualized_volatility": 1.665296, "from_high_reference": -0.649235, "from_low_reference": 9.25142 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.193917, "fair_value_reference": 14.841986, "structural_low": 7.37, "invalidation": "A 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"Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.629173, "energy": 53.676393, "activity_lines": [ 60.804665, 60.066999, 47.018035, 38.081285 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 45.240002, "volume": 359902, "typical_volume": 230581.45, "trend": 28.875833, "fair_value": 14.429299, "relative_strength": 124.870059, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.05497, "energy": 35.108297, "activity_lines": [ 54.840666, 58.075545, 47.934809, 39.215645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 26.9, "volume": 383320, "typical_volume": 242634.65, "trend": 29.491917, "fair_value": 14.534095, "relative_strength": 29.892654, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.949871, "energy": 22.828329, "activity_lines": [ 43.81, 52.521272, 46.960417, 39.088172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 30.16, "volume": 294335, "typical_volume": 240449.75, "trend": 30.200167, "fair_value": 14.664311, "relative_strength": 40.648139, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.760613, "energy": 25.360566, "activity_lines": [ 36.592333, 47.921091, 46.233274, 39.131274 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.565001, "volume": 781891, "typical_volume": 254167.9, "trend": 30.628583, "fair_value": 14.729606, "relative_strength": 2.392949, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.597188, "energy": 36.698803, "activity_lines": [ 30.235334, 42.233091, 44.689726, 38.638683 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.440001, "volume": 761689, "typical_volume": 283847.4, "trend": 31.193917, "fair_value": 14.841986, "relative_strength": 26.192944, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.005654, "energy": 34.837952, "activity_lines": [ 28.132001, 38.192273, 43.646322, 38.497484 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }