{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2e1d4d4d-bb5c-43fa-a355-9606416fbfe4", "symbol": "688208", "name": "Autel Intelligent Technology Corp., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -42.457, "architecture_energy": 28.899, "architecture_maturity": 73.355, "architecture_confidence": 79.488, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.59, "rotation_up": 26.19, "upward_expansion": 15.98, "deceleration": 46.86, "rotation_down": 33.26, "downward_expansion": 63.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.428, 26.821091, 29.00212, 30.422948 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 27.82, "trend_reference": 32.289368, "distance_from_trend": -0.138416, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 24.643468, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.1289, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.575966, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.194224, "excess_performance": -0.15102, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.138416, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.076399, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.1289, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.287882, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.17576, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082377, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.194224, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.761952, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 64034540, "relative_activity": 1.12403, "balance": 1.761952, "dry_up": 1.260528, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.128862, "annualized_volatility": 0.5688, "from_high_reference": -0.339976, "from_low_reference": 0.204329 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.289368, "fair_value_reference": 24.643468, "structural_low": 23.1, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.044296, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.050717, "regime_survival": 0.708333, "best_return": 0.353502, "worst_return": -0.271098, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.009629, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.004616, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.229317, "worst_return": -0.421936, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.036525, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.001966, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.331895, "worst_return": -0.528741, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.497216, "energy": 69.620782, "activity_lines": [ 25.608666, 27.070545, 30.031829, 31.408415 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26.01, "volume": 75416118, "typical_volume": 54141901.1, "trend": 32.771952, "fair_value": 24.519751, "relative_strength": -21.084969, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.322009, "energy": 52.473835, "activity_lines": [ 25.687333, 26.462182, 29.493917, 30.951639 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.33, "volume": 70197518, "typical_volume": 55370784.75, "trend": 32.57277, "fair_value": 24.582385, "relative_strength": -11.162691, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.802165, "energy": 37.801154, "activity_lines": [ 26.977333, 26.682727, 29.309785, 30.729578 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.82, "volume": 64034540, "typical_volume": 56968711.0, "trend": 32.289368, "fair_value": 24.643468, "relative_strength": -17.575966, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.456909, "energy": 28.898989, "activity_lines": [ 27.428, 26.821091, 29.00212, 30.422948 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }