{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2e3a49ea-5595-424e-afa8-aa4e28ed176d",
    "symbol": "301008",
    "name": "Zhejiang Hongchang Electrical Technology Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 61.282,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 45.179,
    "architecture_energy": 40.57,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.805,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 29.69,
        "rotation_up": 67.98,
        "upward_expansion": 45.46,
        "deceleration": 26.77,
        "rotation_down": 14.67,
        "downward_expansion": 18.13
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        34.372667,
        31.886751,
        30.82378,
        31.369234
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 41.41,
    "trend_reference": 32.486934,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.274666,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 24.387766,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.697982,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 17.543463,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.174419,
    "excess_performance": 0.167019,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.274666,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.063792,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.697982,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.304238,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.175435,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.34568,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.174419,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.579623,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 22669466,
      "relative_activity": 0.666653,
      "balance": 0.579623,
      "dry_up": 0.892844,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.110405,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.945621,
      "from_high_reference": -0.247775,
      "from_low_reference": 0.796529
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 32.486934,
      "fair_value_reference": 24.387766,
      "structural_low": 23.809999,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.004916,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.02818,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.01518,
        "worst_return": 0.000746,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.055556,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.033849,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.050282,
        "worst_return": -0.106175,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.087229,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.118726,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.333169,
        "worst_return": -0.021845,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.15248,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.230851,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.449461,
        "worst_return": -0.1445,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.100746,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.22536,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.26225,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.03294,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.13454,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.221794,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.149215,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.466014,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
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        "return": -0.139105,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-08-15",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.361888,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": -0.137758,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 29.58,
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        "typical_volume": 32272381.75,
        "trend": 32.344267,
        "fair_value": 24.167753,
        "relative_strength": -12.01738,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -23.95205,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 32.150002,
        "volume": 26777083,
        "typical_volume": 33233999.0,
        "trend": 32.256601,
        "fair_value": 24.246988,
        "relative_strength": -3.239181,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -13.482047,
        "energy": 17.032442,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.057334,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 41.41,
        "volume": 22669466,
        "typical_volume": 34004895.5,
        "trend": 32.486934,
        "fair_value": 24.387766,
        "relative_strength": 17.543463,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 45.178794,
        "energy": 40.57048,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}