{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2e4427a5-4042-427b-943f-598d974a3f87", "symbol": "VUG", "name": "VANGUARD INDEX FUNDS VANGUARD GROWTH ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 64.721, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.0, "architecture_energy": 36.648, "architecture_maturity": 36.981, "architecture_confidence": 50.846, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.87, "rotation_up": 41.38, "upward_expansion": 68.26, "deceleration": 69.81, "rotation_down": 25.14, "downward_expansion": 8.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 86.412, 85.914611, 85.606086, 83.752306 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 89.4, "trend_reference": 81.707056, "distance_from_trend": 0.094153, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 66.954858, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.335228, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.365327, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.147284, "excess_performance": 0.021659, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.094153, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019888, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.335228, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029201, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.013653, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013062, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.147284, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.352381, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 34249355, "relative_activity": 1.1489, "balance": 1.352381, "dry_up": 1.201097, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039647, "annualized_volatility": 0.2147, "from_high_reference": -0.012145, "from_low_reference": 0.2853 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 81.707056, "fair_value_reference": 66.954858, "structural_low": 69.55576, "invalidation": "A 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"direction": 51.319299, "energy": 32.012999, "activity_lines": [ 85.748081, 86.103995, 84.296703, 82.577912 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 85.27, "volume": 42974425, "typical_volume": 26158317.9, "trend": 81.265434, "fair_value": 66.200272, "relative_strength": -2.416584, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.405171, "energy": 25.194016, "activity_lines": [ 85.656873, 85.888161, 84.630518, 82.845096 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 83.48, "volume": 33581477, "typical_volume": 27184250.85, "trend": 81.303936, "fair_value": 66.428242, "relative_strength": -3.796743, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.26182, "energy": 23.971242, "activity_lines": [ 84.962667, 85.373658, 84.752759, 82.987971 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 85.2, "volume": 32416179, "typical_volume": 28411020.5, "trend": 81.448882, "fair_value": 66.676468, "relative_strength": -2.782893, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.551785, "energy": 21.707601, "activity_lines": [ 85.068667, 85.24193, 85.004025, 83.23933 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 89.4, "volume": 34249355, "typical_volume": 29810559.55, "trend": 81.707056, "fair_value": 66.954858, "relative_strength": -1.365327, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.999922, "energy": 36.64821, "activity_lines": [ 86.412, 85.914611, 85.606086, 83.752306 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }