{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2e4d98f5-9e42-4cc4-b68e-26e2d6b0ef5f", "symbol": "SFLEX", "name": "Starflex Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 59.041, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -0.078, "architecture_energy": 22.659, "architecture_maturity": 6.669, "architecture_confidence": 47.307, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.1, "rotation_up": 42.52, "upward_expansion": 41.76, "deceleration": 25.12, "rotation_down": 16.23, "downward_expansion": 45.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.986667, 2.967636, 2.919143, 2.947396 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.98, "trend_reference": 3.005126, "distance_from_trend": -0.008361, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.922247, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.019763, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.497789, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.071471, "excess_performance": -0.263797, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.008361, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009953, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.019763, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065333, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.114978, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035665, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.071471, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.516311, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1136600, "relative_activity": 0.401351, "balance": 1.516311, "dry_up": 1.077435, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031492, "annualized_volatility": 0.195479, "from_high_reference": -0.154468, "from_low_reference": 0.210801 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.005126, "fair_value_reference": 2.922247, "structural_low": 2.74, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.009593, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.012568, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.061644, "worst_return": -0.122222, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.032707, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.034653, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.113176, "worst_return": -0.06536, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.066937, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.260867, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.087232, "worst_return": -0.242571, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.051948, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.007512, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.021583, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.075188, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.047945, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-03-20", "tenure": "Developing", 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"modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 3.838422, "energy": 22.259043, "activity_lines": [ 2.989333, 2.941091, 2.907048, 2.951186 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.98, "volume": 1182200, "typical_volume": 3094145.0, "trend": 3.007522, "fair_value": 2.924147, "relative_strength": -12.395636, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "down", "direction": 1.61891, "energy": 19.818352, "activity_lines": [ 2.988, 2.955636, 2.912571, 2.949171 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.98, "volume": 1136600, "typical_volume": 2831935.0, "trend": 3.005126, "fair_value": 2.922247, "relative_strength": -11.497789, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "down", "direction": -0.078103, "energy": 22.658835, "activity_lines": [ 2.986667, 2.967636, 2.919143, 2.947396 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }