{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2e5d6a7d-dd48-4bf2-936e-a1177f9fe24f",
    "symbol": "SUSA",
    "name": "ISHARES ESG OPTIMIZED MSCI USA ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.595,
    "architecture_energy": 58.475,
    "architecture_maturity": 58.498,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.76,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.23,
        "rotation_up": 52.13,
        "upward_expansion": 80.08,
        "deceleration": 67.36,
        "rotation_down": 27.31,
        "downward_expansion": 9.08
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        154.955333,
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        152.010711,
        148.687476
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 158.79,
    "trend_reference": 145.06301,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.094628,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 120.022074,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.323007,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.481601,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.13125,
    "excess_performance": 0.005625,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094628,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035583,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.323007,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021814,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.004816,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0125,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.13125,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.098935,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 177724,
      "relative_activity": 0.959558,
      "balance": 2.098935,
      "dry_up": 1.059743,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023711,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.136695,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004313,
      "from_low_reference": 0.242023
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 120.022074,
      "structural_low": 127.847837,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": 0.010884,
        "positive_rate": 0.658537,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.658537,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000687,
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        "best_return": 0.065368,
        "worst_return": -0.054442,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.091984,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.189618,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 118.024998,
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "trend": 143.169109,
        "fair_value": 118.432418,
        "relative_strength": 0.997598,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 66.279062,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 153.01,
        "volume": 124461,
        "typical_volume": 194119.25,
        "trend": 143.639673,
        "fair_value": 118.817502,
        "relative_strength": 0.760674,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 63.134545,
        "energy": 59.47756,
        "activity_lines": [
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          149.595519,
          146.636029
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 151.99,
        "volume": 139979,
        "typical_volume": 183766.4,
        "trend": 144.01649,
        "fair_value": 119.191587,
        "relative_strength": 0.664815,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.806893,
        "energy": 52.776111,
        "activity_lines": [
          153.202013,
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          147.17476
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 153.16,
        "volume": 342955,
        "typical_volume": 188939.8,
        "trend": 144.486412,
        "fair_value": 119.587732,
        "relative_strength": 0.333599,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.951425,
        "energy": 48.35388,
        "activity_lines": [
          153.208007,
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          150.898858,
          147.764664
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 158.79,
        "volume": 177724,
        "typical_volume": 185214.5,
        "trend": 145.06301,
        "fair_value": 120.022074,
        "relative_strength": 0.481601,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.59495,
        "energy": 58.474926,
        "activity_lines": [
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          152.010711,
          148.687476
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}