{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2e721dba-2392-4402-a557-59ccaab12501", "symbol": "603299", "name": "Jiang Su Suyan Jingshen Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.363, "architecture_energy": 52.672, "architecture_maturity": 70.928, "architecture_confidence": 84.077, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.44, "rotation_up": 28.97, "upward_expansion": 13.84, "deceleration": 60.33, "rotation_down": 48.69, "downward_expansion": 78.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.204667, 9.209148, 9.580571, 10.012587 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 9.08, "trend_reference": 10.495909, "distance_from_trend": -0.134901, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.665628, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.060589, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.780282, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.210435, "excess_performance": -0.167231, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.134901, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036329, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.060589, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.132183, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.137803, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.024685, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.210435, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.898657, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 22208688, "relative_activity": 0.817158, "balance": 0.898657, "dry_up": 0.989301, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.051966, "annualized_volatility": 0.262538, "from_high_reference": -0.29007, "from_low_reference": 0.035348 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.495909, "fair_value_reference": 9.665628, "structural_low": 8.77, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.000567, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.010301, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.294825, "worst_return": -0.142529, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.045349, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.041804, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.400006, "worst_return": -0.151818, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.142361, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.033465, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.284353, "worst_return": -0.12312, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.999933, "energy": 84.496613, "activity_lines": [ 9.138667, 9.360633, 9.889151, 10.278074 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.11, "volume": 29589982, "typical_volume": 32162994.2, "trend": 10.569576, "fair_value": 9.664634, "relative_strength": -11.405055, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.460732, "energy": 67.960046, "activity_lines": [ 9.126, 9.275145, 9.763164, 10.181629 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.41, "volume": 27211581, "typical_volume": 29222721.0, "trend": 10.540576, "fair_value": 9.666364, "relative_strength": -8.589418, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.996387, "energy": 53.528752, "activity_lines": [ 9.24, 9.266422, 9.680892, 10.106817 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.08, "volume": 22208688, "typical_volume": 27177965.3, "trend": 10.495909, "fair_value": 9.665628, "relative_strength": -13.780282, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.362802, "energy": 52.672318, "activity_lines": [ 9.204667, 9.209148, 9.580571, 10.012587 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }