{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2e860c33-9772-4c84-bfac-4e067287bec6", "symbol": "QH", "name": "Quality Houses Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.93, "architecture_energy": 68.144, "architecture_maturity": 13.034, "architecture_confidence": 64.799, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.71, "rotation_up": 72.84, "upward_expansion": 89.91, "deceleration": 43.32, "rotation_down": 11.2, "downward_expansion": 14.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.42, 1.400364, 1.382294, 1.368558 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.43, "trend_reference": 1.345352, "distance_from_trend": 0.062919, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.529313, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.06494, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.718148, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.157037, "excess_performance": -0.035288, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.062919, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036301, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.06494, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042303, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.057181, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007499, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.157037, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.646667, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 97292100, "relative_activity": 1.769004, "balance": 0.646667, "dry_up": 1.429924, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030662, "annualized_volatility": 0.236059, "from_high_reference": -0.033784, "from_low_reference": 0.243098 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.345352, "fair_value_reference": 1.529313, "structural_low": 1.245422, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.000293, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.006406, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.051852, "worst_return": -0.074074, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.014015, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.046048, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.054054, "worst_return": -0.175926, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.07236, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.033873, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.071295, "worst_return": -0.123693, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.086487, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.005814, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.092069, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.01439, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.106558, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "Developing", 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"close": 1.43, "volume": 97292100, "typical_volume": 54998225.0, "trend": 1.345352, "fair_value": 1.529313, "relative_strength": -5.718148, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.93034, "energy": 68.144029, "activity_lines": [ 1.42, 1.400364, 1.382294, 1.368558 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }